Scandicci x Poggibonsi Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 21/12/2025 13:30 |
 Scandicci1.57 |
X 3.50 |
Poggibonsi  5.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Scandicci x Poggibonsi:
🔮 Scandicci wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Scandicci, you can win up to $785.00!
Some important points for the tip for Scandicci x Poggibonsi:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Scandicci in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-281.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Poggibonsi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Scandicci scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Poggibonsi conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Poggibonsi as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.
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Analysis from Scandicci x Poggibonsi for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December
🏟️ Scandicci X Poggibonsi – Italy Serie D
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Scandicci – Winning probability: 72.08% | Fair line: 1.39
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.41% | Fair line: 5.43
🔴 Poggibonsi – Winning probability: 9.51% | Fair line: 10.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Scandicci
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
When the best bet on Scandicci x Poggibonsi is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455219 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Scandicci x Poggibonsi
Is it a good idea to bet on Scandicci?
🔵 Scandicci: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 72.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 720 times – this would give you a profit of $410.40
- And would lose other 280 times – losing -$280.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$130.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $450.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$370.00.
Is betting on Poggibonsi worth it?
🔴 Poggibonsi: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $400.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$500.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Scandicci x Poggibonsi
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Scandicci
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Scandicci x Poggibonsi
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Scandicci, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Scandicci.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Poggibonsi.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Scandicci x Poggibonsi
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
