Camaiore x Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 21/12/2025 13:30 |
Camaiore2.15 |
X 3.12 |
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro ![]() 3.10 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Camaiore x Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Camaiore x Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Some important points for the tip for Camaiore x Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Camaiore in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Camaiore conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Camaiore as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.
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Analysis from Camaiore x Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December
🏟️ Camaiore X Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro – Italy Serie D
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Camaiore – Winning probability: 43.90% | Fair line: 2.28
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.90% | Fair line: 3.46
🔴 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro – Winning probability: 27.20% | Fair line: 3.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Camaiore
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Camaiore x Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455219 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Camaiore x Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Should you bet on Camaiore?
🔵 Camaiore: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $506.00
- And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$54.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $614.80;
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$95.20.
Is betting on Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro worth it?
🔴 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $567.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Camaiore x Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Camaiore
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Camaiore x Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Camaiore, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Camaiore.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Camaiore.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Camaiore x Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Camaiore