Araz FK x Shamakhi FK Betting tips for December 21 in Azerbaijan Premier League
| 📅 21/12/2025 13:30 |
Araz FK2.25 |
X 2.89 |
Shamakhi FK ![]() 3.10 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Araz FK x Shamakhi FK:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Araz FK x Shamakhi FK
Some important points for the tip for Araz FK x Shamakhi FK:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Araz FK in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-192.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Shamakhi FK in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-77.0.
👉 In the last 3 Araz FK matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
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Analysis from Araz FK x Shamakhi FK for the Azerbaijan Premier League – 21 of December
🏟️ Araz FK X Shamakhi FK – Azerbaijan Premier League
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Araz FK – Winning probability: 38.32% | Fair line: 2.61
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.09% | Fair line: 2.93
🔴 Shamakhi FK – Winning probability: 27.59% | Fair line: 3.62
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Araz FK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks
When the best bet on Araz FK x Shamakhi FK is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Araz FK x Shamakhi FK
Should you bet on Araz FK?
🔵 Araz FK: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 380 times – profiting $475.00;
- And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$145.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.89. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – profiting $642.60;
- And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$17.40.
Is it worth betting on Shamakhi FK?
🔴 Shamakhi FK: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $588.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$132.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Araz FK x Shamakhi FK
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Araz FK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Araz FK x Shamakhi FK
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Araz FK and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Araz FK. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Araz FK x Shamakhi FK
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Araz FK