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Home Β» Predictions Β» AT Malveira x Louletano DC Betting tips for December 20 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Saturday, 20 December 2025, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
AT Malveira AT Malveira
PREDICTION No tip
Louletano DC Louletano DC
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AT Malveira x Louletano DC Betting tips for December 20 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for AT Malveira x Louletano DC, Saturday, 20/12/2025
πŸ“… 20/12/2025
15:00
AT Malveira AT Malveira
3.30
X
3.02
Louletano DC Louletano DC
2.18

Our algorithm has selected this tip for AT Malveira x Louletano DC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for AT Malveira x Louletano DC

Important information for your tip for AT Malveira x Louletano DC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AT Malveira in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $126.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Louletano DC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ Louletano DC did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ Louletano DC did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, AT Malveira scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 AT Malveira matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Louletano DC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Louletano DC has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from AT Malveira x Louletano DC for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 20 of December

🏟️ AT Malveira X Louletano DC – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
πŸ“… 20 of December, 2025 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ AT Malveira – Winning probability: 20.82% | Fair line: 4.8
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.79% | Fair line: 2.87
πŸ”΄ Louletano DC – Winning probability: 44.39% | Fair line: 2.25
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 AT Malveira
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on AT Malveira x Louletano DC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455033 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AT Malveira x Louletano DC

Is it worth betting on AT Malveira?

πŸ”΅ AT Malveira: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $483.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$307.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $707.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$57.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on Louletano DC?

πŸ”΄ Louletano DC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $519.20;
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$40.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AT Malveira x Louletano DC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 AT Malveira
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AT Malveira x Louletano DC

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 AT Malveira and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 AT Malveira.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Louletano DC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AT Malveira x Louletano DC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves