Pasaia KE x Cultural de Durango Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Tercera Group 4

Our betting tip for Pasaia KE x Cultural de Durango, Saturday, 20/12/2025

📅 20/12/2025 15:30

Pasaia KE 2.67

X 2.90

Cultural de Durango 2.52

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Pasaia KE x Cultural de Durango:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Pasaia KE x Cultural de Durango

Important information for your tip for Pasaia KE x Cultural de Durango:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Pasaia KE in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cultural de Durango in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $87.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Pasaia KE conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Pasaia KE conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Cultural de Durango.

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Analysis from Pasaia KE x Cultural de Durango for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 20 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pasaia KE x Cultural de Durango right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455033 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Pasaia KE x Cultural de Durango

Is betting on Pasaia KE worth it?

🔵 Pasaia KE: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $567.80
• And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$92.20.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $646.00;
• And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$14.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on Cultural de Durango?

🔴 Cultural de Durango: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $486.40;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$193.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Pasaia KE x Cultural de Durango

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Pasaia KE
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pasaia KE x Cultural de Durango

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Pasaia KE, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Pasaia KE.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Cultural de Durango.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pasaia KE x Cultural de Durango

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.