ASD Sasso Marconi x SCD Progresso Calcio Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 21/12/2025 13:30 |
ASD Sasso Marconi2.33 |
X 3.11 |
SCD Progresso Calcio ![]() 2.80 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for ASD Sasso Marconi x SCD Progresso Calcio:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for ASD Sasso Marconi x SCD Progresso Calcio
Some important points for the tip for ASD Sasso Marconi x SCD Progresso Calcio:
👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Sasso Marconi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SCD Progresso Calcio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against SCD Progresso Calcio, ASD Sasso Marconi scored at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from ASD Sasso Marconi x SCD Progresso Calcio for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December
🏟️ ASD Sasso Marconi X SCD Progresso Calcio – Italy Serie D
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 ASD Sasso Marconi – Winning probability: 40.18% | Fair line: 2.49
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.76% | Fair line: 3.25
🔴 SCD Progresso Calcio – Winning probability: 29.06% | Fair line: 3.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 ASD Sasso Marconi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between ASD Sasso Marconi and SCD Progresso Calcio.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455219 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for ASD Sasso Marconi x SCD Progresso Calcio
Is betting on ASD Sasso Marconi worth it?
🔵 ASD Sasso Marconi: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $532.00
- And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$68.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.11. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $654.10;
- And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$35.90.
Is it worth betting on SCD Progresso Calcio?
🔴 SCD Progresso Calcio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $522.00;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$188.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match ASD Sasso Marconi x SCD Progresso Calcio
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 ASD Sasso Marconi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ASD Sasso Marconi x SCD Progresso Calcio
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 ASD Sasso Marconi, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 ASD Sasso Marconi.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 ASD Sasso Marconi.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ASD Sasso Marconi x SCD Progresso Calcio
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

ASD Sasso Marconi