Citta Di Varese x Lavagnese Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 21/12/2025 13:30 |
Citta Di Varese2.05 |
X 3.29 |
Lavagnese ![]() 3.10 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Citta Di Varese x Lavagnese:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Citta Di Varese x Lavagnese
Important information for your tip for Citta Di Varese x Lavagnese:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Citta di Varese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lavagnese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $7.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Lavagnese, Citta di Varese scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Citta di Varese x Lavagnese, with Citta di Varese as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Citta di Varese conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Lavagnese conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Citta di Varese conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Lavagnese.
👉 Citta di Varese is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 63.00% of possession.
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Analysis from Citta Di Varese x Lavagnese for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December
🏟️ Citta Di Varese X Lavagnese – Italy Serie D
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Citta Di Varese – Winning probability: 50.11% | Fair line: 2.0
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.18% | Fair line: 4.13
🔴 Lavagnese – Winning probability: 25.71% | Fair line: 3.89
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Citta Di Varese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Citta Di Varese and Lavagnese.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455219 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Citta Di Varese x Lavagnese
Is it a good idea to bet on Citta Di Varese?
🔵 Citta Di Varese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $525.00;
- And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$25.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $549.60
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$210.40.
Is it worth betting on Lavagnese?
🔴 Lavagnese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$194.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Citta Di Varese x Lavagnese
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Citta Di Varese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Citta Di Varese x Lavagnese
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Citta Di Varese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Citta Di Varese.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Citta Di Varese.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Citta Di Varese x Lavagnese
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Citta Di Varese