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Home » Predictions » Others » ASD Villa DAlme x US Breno Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 21 December 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
ASD Villa DAlme ASD Villa DAlme
PREDICTION No tip
US Breno US Breno
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ASD Villa DAlme x US Breno Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for ASD Villa DAlme x US Breno, Sunday, 21/12/2025
📅 21/12/2025
13:30
ASD Villa DAlme ASD Villa DAlme
2.28
X
3.32
US Breno US Breno
2.64

Our algorithm has selected this tip for ASD Villa DAlme x US Breno:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for ASD Villa DAlme x US Breno

Important information for your tip for ASD Villa DAlme x US Breno:

👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Villa DAlme in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $362.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, US Breno scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against US Breno, ASD Villa DAlme scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 US Breno matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, ASD Villa DAlme conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, US Breno conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, ASD Villa DAlme conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against US Breno.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on ASD Villa DAlme x US Breno?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on ASD Villa DAlme x US Breno, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from ASD Villa DAlme x US Breno for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December

🏟️ ASD Villa DAlme X US Breno – Italy Serie D
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 ASD Villa DAlme – Winning probability: 47.67% | Fair line: 2.1
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.39% | Fair line: 4.1
🔴 US Breno – Winning probability: 27.94% | Fair line: 3.58
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 ASD Villa DAlme
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on ASD Villa DAlme x US Breno is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for ASD Villa DAlme x US Breno

Is betting on ASD Villa DAlme worth it?

🔵 ASD Villa DAlme: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $614.40;
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$94.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $556.80;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$203.20.

Is betting on US Breno worth it?

🔴 US Breno: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $459.20;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$260.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match ASD Villa DAlme x US Breno

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 ASD Villa DAlme
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ASD Villa DAlme x US Breno

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 ASD Villa DAlme and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 ASD Villa DAlme.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 ASD Villa DAlme.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ASD Villa DAlme x US Breno

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves