Pavia x AC Chievo Verona Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 21/12/2025 13:30 |
 Pavia2.93 |
X 3.45 |
AC Chievo Verona  2.14 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Pavia x AC Chievo Verona:
🔮 AC Chievo Verona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AC Chievo Verona, you can win up to $1070.00!
Some important points for the tip for Pavia x AC Chievo Verona:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Pavia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-68.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Chievo Verona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $237.0.
👉 In the last 4 AC Chievo Verona matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
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Analysis from Pavia x AC Chievo Verona for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December
🏟️ Pavia X AC Chievo Verona – Italy Serie D
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Pavia – Winning probability: 22.78% | Fair line: 4.39
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.04% | Fair line: 3.84
🔴 AC Chievo Verona – Winning probability: 51.18% | Fair line: 1.95
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Pavia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pavia x AC Chievo Verona right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455219 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Pavia x AC Chievo Verona
Is it worth betting on Pavia?
🔵 Pavia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.93. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $443.90;
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$326.10.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $637.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$103.00.
Should you bet on AC Chievo Verona?
🔴 AC Chievo Verona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 510 times – profiting $581.40;
- And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$91.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Pavia x AC Chievo Verona
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Pavia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pavia x AC Chievo Verona
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Pavia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Pavia.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pavia x AC Chievo Verona
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
