AC Leon Monza Brianza x USD Casatese Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for AC Leon Monza Brianza x USD Casatese, Sunday, 21/12/2025

📅 21/12/2025 13:30

AC Leon Monza Brianza 2.43

X 3.26

USD Casatese 2.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for AC Leon Monza Brianza x USD Casatese:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for AC Leon Monza Brianza x USD Casatese

Some important points for the tip for AC Leon Monza Brianza x USD Casatese:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Leon Monza Brianza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-260.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on USD Casatese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, USD Casatese has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from AC Leon Monza Brianza x USD Casatese for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AC Leon Monza Brianza and USD Casatese.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AC Leon Monza Brianza x USD Casatese

Should you bet on AC Leon Monza Brianza?

🔵 AC Leon Monza Brianza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.43. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $529.10;
• And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$100.90.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $632.80;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$87.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on USD Casatese?

🔴 USD Casatese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $510.00;
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$150.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match AC Leon Monza Brianza x USD Casatese

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AC Leon Monza Brianza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Leon Monza Brianza x USD Casatese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 AC Leon Monza Brianza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 AC Leon Monza Brianza. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Leon Monza Brianza x USD Casatese

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.