Afragolese 1944 x FC Francavilla Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 21/12/2025 13:30 |
 Afragolese 19442.27 |
X 3.26 |
FC Francavilla  2.75 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Afragolese 1944 x FC Francavilla:
🔮 Afragolese 1944 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Afragolese 1944, you can win up to $1135.00!
Some important points for the tip for Afragolese 1944 x FC Francavilla:
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Francavilla in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $97.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Afragolese 1944 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Afragolese 1944 is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
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Analysis from Afragolese 1944 x FC Francavilla for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December
🏟️ Afragolese 1944 X FC Francavilla – Italy Serie D
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Afragolese 1944 – Winning probability: 56.84% | Fair line: 1.76
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.04% | Fair line: 4.54
🔴 FC Francavilla – Winning probability: 21.12% | Fair line: 4.73
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Afragolese 1944
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Afragolese 1944 x FC Francavilla right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455219 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Afragolese 1944 x FC Francavilla
Is it worth betting on Afragolese 1944?
🔵 Afragolese 1944: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.27. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $723.90;
- And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$293.90.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $497.20;
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$282.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on FC Francavilla?
🔴 FC Francavilla: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $367.50;
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$422.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Afragolese 1944 x FC Francavilla
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Afragolese 1944
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Afragolese 1944 x FC Francavilla
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Afragolese 1944 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Afragolese 1944.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Afragolese 1944.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Afragolese 1944 x FC Francavilla
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
