Ischia x Nocerina Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D
| π
21/12/2025 13:30 |
Ischia2.65 |
X 3.35 |
Nocerina ![]() 2.30 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Ischia x Nocerina:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Ischia x Nocerina
Important information for your tip for Ischia x Nocerina:
π If you had bet $100 on Nocerina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $79.0.
π In the last 5 matches as the home team, Ischia scored at least 2 goal(s).
π In the last 4 Ischia matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
π In the last 4 matches as the home team, Ischia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
π Ischia is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
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Analysis from Ischia x Nocerina for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December
ποΈ Ischia X Nocerina – Italy Serie D
π
21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
π΅ Ischia – Winning probability: 31.14% | Fair line: 3.21
βͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.68% | Fair line: 3.61
π΄ Nocerina – Winning probability: 41.18% | Fair line: 2.43
β Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Ischia
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
When the best bet on Ischia x Nocerina is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Ischia x Nocerina
Should you bet on Ischia?
π΅ Ischia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $511.50;
- And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$178.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $658.00;
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$62.00.
Is betting on Nocerina worth it?
π΄ Nocerina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 410 times – profiting $533.00;
- And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$57.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ischia x Nocerina
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Ischia
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ischia x Nocerina
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Ischia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Ischia.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Nocerina.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ischia x Nocerina
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Ischia