Maceratese x Chieti Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 21/12/2025 14:00 |
Maceratese1.83 |
X 3.32 |
Chieti ![]() 3.70 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Maceratese x Chieti:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Maceratese x Chieti
Some important points for the tip for Maceratese x Chieti:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Maceratese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $510.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Chieti in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Maceratese scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Maceratese is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
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Analysis from Maceratese x Chieti for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December
🏟️ Maceratese X Chieti – Italy Serie D
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Maceratese – Winning probability: 52.14% | Fair line: 1.92
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.83% | Fair line: 4.03
🔴 Chieti – Winning probability: 23.04% | Fair line: 4.34
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Maceratese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Maceratese and Chieti.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455219 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Maceratese x Chieti
Is it a good idea to bet on Maceratese?
🔵 Maceratese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $431.60
- And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$48.40.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $580.00
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$170.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Chieti?
🔴 Chieti: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $621.00
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$149.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Maceratese x Chieti
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Maceratese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maceratese x Chieti
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Maceratese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Maceratese.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Maceratese.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maceratese x Chieti
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Maceratese