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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Milazzo x ACR Messina Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 21 December 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Milazzo Milazzo
PREDICTION No tip
ACR Messina ACR Messina
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Milazzo x ACR Messina Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Milazzo x ACR Messina, Sunday, 21/12/2025
πŸ“… 21/12/2025
13:30
Milazzo Milazzo
2.40
X
3.21
ACR Messina ACR Messina
2.58

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Milazzo x ACR Messina:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Milazzo x ACR Messina

The main points for the tip for Milazzo x ACR Messina:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on ACR Messina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-58.0.
πŸ‘‰ Milazzo did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Milazzo scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Milazzo matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 ACR Messina matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Milazzo is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Milazzo x ACR Messina for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December

🏟️ Milazzo X ACR Messina – Italy Serie D
πŸ“… 21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ Milazzo – Winning probability: 32.07% | Fair line: 3.12
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.79% | Fair line: 3.05
πŸ”΄ ACR Messina – Winning probability: 35.14% | Fair line: 2.85
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Milazzo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Milazzo x ACR Messina is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Milazzo x ACR Messina

Is it a good idea to bet on Milazzo?

πŸ”΅ Milazzo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $448.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$232.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.21. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $729.30;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$59.30 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on ACR Messina?

πŸ”΄ ACR Messina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $553.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$97.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Milazzo x ACR Messina

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Milazzo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Milazzo x ACR Messina

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Milazzo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Milazzo. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Milazzo x ACR Messina

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves