Igea Virtus x Vigor Lamezia Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Igea Virtus x Vigor Lamezia, Sunday, 21/12/2025

📅 21/12/2025 14:00

Igea Virtus 2.20

X 3.25

Vigor Lamezia 2.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Igea Virtus x Vigor Lamezia:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Igea Virtus x Vigor Lamezia

The main points for the tip for Igea Virtus x Vigor Lamezia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Vigor Lamezia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $300.0.
👉 In the last 3 Igea Virtus matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Vigor Lamezia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Vigor Lamezia as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Igea Virtus x Vigor Lamezia for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Igea Virtus x Vigor Lamezia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455219 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Igea Virtus x Vigor Lamezia

Is it a good idea to bet on Igea Virtus?

🔵 Igea Virtus: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 420 times – profiting $504.00;
• And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$76.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $630.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$90.00.

Should you bet on Vigor Lamezia?

🔴 Vigor Lamezia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $558.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$132.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Igea Virtus x Vigor Lamezia

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Igea Virtus
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Igea Virtus x Vigor Lamezia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Igea Virtus and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Igea Virtus.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Igea Virtus x Vigor Lamezia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.