Parma (W) x Lazio (W) Betting tips for December 21 in Coppa Italia Women
| 📅 21/12/2025 13:30 |
 Parma (W)2.75 |
X 3.41 |
Lazio (W)  2.20 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Parma (W) x Lazio (W):
🔮 Lazio (W) wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lazio (W), you can win up to $1100.00!
The main points for the tip for Parma (W) x Lazio (W):
👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma (W) in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio (W) in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-127.0.
👉 In the last 3 Parma (W) matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Parma (W) conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Lazio (W) conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Parma (W) x Lazio (W) for the Coppa Italia Women – 21 of December
🏟️ Parma (W) X Lazio (W) – Coppa Italia Women
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Parma (W) – Winning probability: 30.99% | Fair line: 3.23
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.38% | Fair line: 6.1
🔴 Lazio (W) – Winning probability: 52.63% | Fair line: 1.9
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Parma (W)
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
When the best bet on Parma (W) x Lazio (W) is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Parma (W) x Lazio (W)
Is it a good idea to bet on Parma (W)?
🔵 Parma (W): the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – profiting $542.50;
- And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$147.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.41. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $385.60;
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$454.40.
Is betting on Lazio (W) worth it?
🔴 Lazio (W): the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $636.00;
- And would lose other 470 times – losing -$470.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$166.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Parma (W) x Lazio (W)
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Parma (W)
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Parma (W) x Lazio (W)
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Parma (W) and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Parma (W).
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Parma (W) x Lazio (W)
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
