USD Castellanzese x Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for USD Castellanzese x Virtus Ciserano Bergamo, Sunday, 21/12/2025

📅 21/12/2025 13:30

USD Castellanzese 2.40

X 3.20

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 2.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for USD Castellanzese x Virtus Ciserano Bergamo:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for USD Castellanzese x Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

Some important points for the tip for USD Castellanzese x Virtus Ciserano Bergamo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on USD Castellanzese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $28.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Virtus Ciserano Bergamo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $107.0.
👉 In the last 3 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Looking for another bookie to bet on USD Castellanzese x Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on USD Castellanzese x Virtus Ciserano Bergamo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from USD Castellanzese x Virtus Ciserano Bergamo for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between USD Castellanzese and Virtus Ciserano Bergamo.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for USD Castellanzese x Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

Is it a good idea to bet on USD Castellanzese?

🔵 USD Castellanzese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
• And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $660.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is betting on Virtus Ciserano Bergamo worth it?

🔴 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $496.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$194.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match USD Castellanzese x Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 USD Castellanzese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for USD Castellanzese x Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 USD Castellanzese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 USD Castellanzese.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 USD Castellanzese.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for USD Castellanzese x Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.