Treviso x AC Mestre Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Treviso x AC Mestre, Sunday, 21/12/2025

📅 21/12/2025 13:30

Treviso 1.95

X 3.20

AC Mestre 3.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Treviso x AC Mestre:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Treviso x AC Mestre

Some important points for the tip for Treviso x AC Mestre:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Treviso in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $226.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Mestre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $384.0.
👉 Treviso did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Treviso scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 AC Mestre matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Treviso x AC Mestre, with Treviso as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Treviso is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Treviso has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against AC Mestre playing at home.

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Analysis from Treviso x AC Mestre for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Treviso and AC Mestre.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Treviso x AC Mestre

Is betting on Treviso worth it?

🔵 Treviso: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $494.00
• And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$14.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $528.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$232.00.

Is betting on AC Mestre worth it?

🔴 AC Mestre: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Treviso x AC Mestre

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Treviso
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Treviso x AC Mestre

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Treviso and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Treviso.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Treviso x AC Mestre

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.