NovaRomentino x Ligorna Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 21/12/2025 14:00 |
 NovaRomentino6.65 |
X 4.22 |
Ligorna  1.41 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for NovaRomentino x Ligorna:
🔮 Ligorna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ligorna, you can win up to $705.00!
The main points for the tip for NovaRomentino x Ligorna:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ligorna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $131.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Ligorna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Ligorna has not lost any of them.
👉 NovaRomentino has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Ligorna playing at home.
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on NovaRomentino x Ligorna?
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Analysis from NovaRomentino x Ligorna for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December
🏟️ NovaRomentino X Ligorna – Italy Serie D
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 NovaRomentino – Winning probability: 2.16% | Fair line: 46.26
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.86% | Fair line: 11.28
🔴 Ligorna – Winning probability: 88.98% | Fair line: 1.12
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 NovaRomentino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between NovaRomentino and Ligorna.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for NovaRomentino x Ligorna
Is betting on NovaRomentino worth it?
🔵 NovaRomentino: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $113.00;
- And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$867.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 90 times – profiting $289.80;
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$620.20.
Is it worth betting on Ligorna?
🔴 Ligorna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 88.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.41. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 890 times – having a profit of $364.90;
- And would lose other 110 times – losing -$110.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$254.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match NovaRomentino x Ligorna
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 NovaRomentino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NovaRomentino x Ligorna
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.5 NovaRomentino and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 NovaRomentino.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Ligorna.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NovaRomentino x Ligorna
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
