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Home » Predictions » Burkina Faso x Equatorial Guinea Betting tips for December 24 in Africa Cup of Nations
Wednesday, 24 December 2025, 12h30 Africa Cup of Nations
Burkina Faso Burkina Faso
PREDICTION Burkina Faso wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
Equatorial Guinea Equatorial Guinea
ODD: @1.91
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Burkina Faso x Equatorial Guinea Betting tips for December 24 in Africa Cup of Nations

Our betting tip for Burkina Faso x Equatorial Guinea, Wednesday, 24/12/2025
📅 24/12/2025
12:30
Burkina Faso Burkina Faso
1.91
X
3.20
Equatorial Guinea Equatorial Guinea
3.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Burkina Faso x Equatorial Guinea:

🔮 Burkina Faso wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Burkina Faso, you can win up to $955.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Burkina Faso x Equatorial Guinea:

👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Burkina Faso scored at least 3 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Equatorial Guinea scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Burkina Faso matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Burkina Faso is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Equatorial Guinea has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Burkina Faso x Equatorial Guinea for the Africa Cup of Nations – 24 of December

🏟️ Burkina Faso X Equatorial Guinea – Africa Cup of Nations
📅 24 of December, 2025 – 12:30
🔵 Burkina Faso – Winning probability: 78.72% | Fair line: 1.27
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.43% | Fair line: 9.59
🔴 Equatorial Guinea – Winning probability: 10.86% | Fair line: 9.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Burkina Faso
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Burkina Faso x Equatorial Guinea right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455188 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Burkina Faso x Equatorial Guinea

Is it a good idea to bet on Burkina Faso?

🔵 Burkina Faso: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 78.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – profiting $718.90;
  • And would lose other 210 times – losing -$210.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$508.90.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $220.00
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$680.00.

Is betting on Equatorial Guinea worth it?

🔴 Equatorial Guinea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $319.00
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$571.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Burkina Faso x Equatorial Guinea

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Burkina Faso
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Burkina Faso x Equatorial Guinea

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Burkina Faso, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Burkina Faso.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Equatorial Guinea.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Burkina Faso x Equatorial Guinea

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves