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Home » Predictions » APS Bomet x Tusker Betting tips for December 21 in Kenya Premier League
Sunday, 21 December 2025, 11h00 Kenya Premier League
APS Bomet APS Bomet
PREDICTION No tip
Tusker Tusker
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APS Bomet x Tusker Betting tips for December 21 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for APS Bomet x Tusker, Sunday, 21/12/2025
📅 21/12/2025
11:00
APS Bomet APS Bomet
3.10
X
2.86
Tusker Tusker
2.29

Our algorithm has selected this tip for APS Bomet x Tusker:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for APS Bomet x Tusker

The main points for the tip for APS Bomet x Tusker:

👉 If you had bet $100 on APS Bomet in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-262.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tusker in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $222.0.
👉 In the last 4 APS Bomet matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 Tusker matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from APS Bomet x Tusker for the Kenya Premier League – 21 of December

🏟️ APS Bomet X Tusker – Kenya Premier League
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 APS Bomet – Winning probability: 23.83% | Fair line: 4.2
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.55% | Fair line: 3.17
🔴 Tusker – Winning probability: 44.62% | Fair line: 2.24
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 APS Bomet
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between APS Bomet and Tusker.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455219 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for APS Bomet x Tusker

Is it worth betting on APS Bomet?

🔵 APS Bomet: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $504.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$256.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $595.20;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$84.80.

Should you bet on Tusker?

🔴 Tusker: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $580.50
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$30.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match APS Bomet x Tusker

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 APS Bomet
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for APS Bomet x Tusker

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 APS Bomet and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 APS Bomet. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for APS Bomet x Tusker

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves