Gran Pena x UD Barbadas Betting tips for December 21 in Spain Tercera Group 1

Our betting tip for Gran Pena x UD Barbadas, Sunday, 21/12/2025

📅 21/12/2025 11:00

Gran Pena 1.80

X 3.19

UD Barbadas 4.33

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Gran Pena x UD Barbadas:

🔮 Gran Pena wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gran Pena, you can win up to $900.00!

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The main points for the tip for Gran Pena x UD Barbadas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Gran Pena in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Barbadas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 UD Barbadas matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, UD Barbadas conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for another bookie to bet on Gran Pena x UD Barbadas?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Gran Pena x UD Barbadas, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Gran Pena x UD Barbadas for the Spain Tercera Group 1 – 21 of December

When the best bet on Gran Pena x UD Barbadas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455219 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gran Pena x UD Barbadas

Is it a good idea to bet on Gran Pena?

🔵 Gran Pena: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $496.00;
• And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$116.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.19. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $547.50;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$202.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on UD Barbadas?

🔴 UD Barbadas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 130 times – profiting $432.90;
• And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$437.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Gran Pena x UD Barbadas

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Gran Pena
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gran Pena x UD Barbadas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Gran Pena, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Gran Pena. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gran Pena x UD Barbadas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.