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Home » Predictions » Equity FC x Mulembe United Betting tips for December 21 in Kenya Super League
Sunday, 21 December 2025, 12h00 Kenya Super League
Equity FC Equity FC
PREDICTION Equity FC wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Mulembe United Mulembe United
ODD: @1.6
Bonus 100% up to $500
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Equity FC x Mulembe United Betting tips for December 21 in Kenya Super League

Our betting tip for Equity FC x Mulembe United, Sunday, 21/12/2025
📅 21/12/2025
12:00
Equity FC Equity FC
1.60
X
3.24
Mulembe United Mulembe United
6.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Equity FC x Mulembe United:

🔮 Equity FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Equity FC, you can win up to $800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Equity FC x Mulembe United:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Equity FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $548.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Equity FC scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Equity FC is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Equity FC x Mulembe United for the Kenya Super League – 21 of December

🏟️ Equity FC X Mulembe United – Kenya Super League
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 Equity FC – Winning probability: 81.57% | Fair line: 1.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.56% | Fair line: 6.87
🔴 Mulembe United – Winning probability: 3.87% | Fair line: 25.81
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Equity FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Equity FC x Mulembe United is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455219 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Equity FC x Mulembe United

Is betting on Equity FC worth it?

🔵 Equity FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – profiting $492.00;
  • And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$312.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.24. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $336.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$514.00.

Is betting on Mulembe United worth it?

🔴 Mulembe United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $200.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$760.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Equity FC x Mulembe United

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Equity FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Equity FC x Mulembe United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Equity FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Equity FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Equity FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Equity FC x Mulembe United

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves