Desenzano Calvina x Sangiuliano City FC Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 21/12/2025 13:30 |
Desenzano Calvina2.25 |
X 3.30 |
Sangiuliano City FC ![]() 2.80 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Desenzano Calvina x Sangiuliano City FC:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Desenzano Calvina x Sangiuliano City FC
Some important points for the tip for Desenzano Calvina x Sangiuliano City FC:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sangiuliano City FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Desenzano Calvina scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Desenzano Calvina is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
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Analysis from Desenzano Calvina x Sangiuliano City FC for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December
🏟️ Desenzano Calvina X Sangiuliano City FC – Italy Serie D
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Desenzano Calvina – Winning probability: 39.63% | Fair line: 2.52
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.81% | Fair line: 3.73
🔴 Sangiuliano City FC – Winning probability: 33.57% | Fair line: 2.98
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Desenzano Calvina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Desenzano Calvina and Sangiuliano City FC.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455219 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Desenzano Calvina x Sangiuliano City FC
Is it worth betting on Desenzano Calvina?
🔵 Desenzano Calvina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $500.00
- And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$100.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $621.00
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$109.00.
Is it worth betting on Sangiuliano City FC?
🔴 Sangiuliano City FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $612.00;
- And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$48.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Desenzano Calvina x Sangiuliano City FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Desenzano Calvina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Desenzano Calvina x Sangiuliano City FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Desenzano Calvina, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Desenzano Calvina.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Desenzano Calvina.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Desenzano Calvina x Sangiuliano City FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Desenzano Calvina