Barletta x AC Nardo Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Barletta x AC Nardo, Sunday, 21/12/2025

📅 21/12/2025 13:30

Barletta 1.91

X 3.20

AC Nardo 3.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Barletta x AC Nardo:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Barletta x AC Nardo

Some important points for the tip for Barletta x AC Nardo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Barletta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $58.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Nardo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-258.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Barletta scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, AC Nardo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, AC Nardo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, AC Nardo has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Barletta x AC Nardo for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Barletta x AC Nardo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455219 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Barletta x AC Nardo

Is it a good idea to bet on Barletta?

🔵 Barletta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 550 times – profiting $500.50;
• And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$50.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $550.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$200.00.

Is betting on AC Nardo worth it?

🔴 AC Nardo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $500.00;
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$300.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Barletta x AC Nardo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Barletta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barletta x AC Nardo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Barletta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Barletta.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 AC Nardo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barletta x AC Nardo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.