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Home » Predictions » Others » Morocco x Mali Betting tips for December 26 in Africa Cup of Nations
Friday, 26 December 2025, 20h00 Africa Cup of Nations
Morocco Morocco
PREDICTION Morocco wins Probability 82% 1 X 2
Mali Mali
ODD: @1.45
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Morocco x Mali Betting tips for December 26 in Africa Cup of Nations

Our betting tip for Morocco x Mali, Friday, 26/12/2025
📅 26/12/2025
20:00
Morocco Morocco
1.45
X
3.92
Mali Mali
7.29

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Morocco x Mali:

🔮 Morocco wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Morocco, you can win up to $725.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Morocco x Mali:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Morocco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $250.0.
👉 Morocco did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 11 matches as the home team, Morocco scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Mali matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Morocco is good playing home: it has 10 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Morocco x Mali?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Morocco x Mali, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Morocco x Mali for the Africa Cup of Nations – 26 of December

🏟️ Morocco X Mali – Africa Cup of Nations
📅 26 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Morocco – Winning probability: 82.11% | Fair line: 1.22
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.48% | Fair line: 8.01
🔴 Mali – Winning probability: 5.41% | Fair line: 18.49
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Morocco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Morocco x Mali is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1456088 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Morocco x Mali

Is it worth betting on Morocco?

🔵 Morocco: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 82.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $369.00
  • And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$189.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $350.40
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$529.60.

Is betting on Mali worth it?

🔴 Mali: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.29. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $314.50;
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$635.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Morocco x Mali

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Morocco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Morocco x Mali

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Morocco and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Morocco.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Morocco.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Morocco x Mali

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves