West Ham x Fulham Betting tips for December 27 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for West Ham x Fulham, Saturday, 27/12/2025

📅 27/12/2025 15:00

West Ham 2.75

X 3.40

Fulham 2.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for West Ham x Fulham:

🔮 Fulham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fulham, you can win up to $1250.00!

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The main points for the tip for West Ham x Fulham:

👉 If you had bet $100 on West Ham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fulham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Fulham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Fulham matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, West Ham conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Fulham conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, West Ham conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Fulham.

🤖 What does ChatGPT say about our prediction for West Ham vs Fulham?

Lets analyze the match between West Ham and Fulham at London Stadium, which is West Hams usual stadium, with a capacity of 62,500 people and an environment that favors the home team.

📈 Table analysis: West Ham is in a delicate situation in the relegation zone, pressured by recent poor results (10 defeats this season) and desperately seeking points to escape this situation. Fulham, on the other hand, is more relaxed after two consecutive wins that moved them away from danger, showing better recent form.

📰 News: West Ham faces internal pressure with the coach at risk and focus on reinforcements for January, especially looking for a reliable striker. This indicates instability in the squad and possible emotional strain. Conversely, Fulham has a defense recently praised by coach Marco Silva and has offensive players in good form like Harry Wilson; however, they suffer from important injuries on the flanks.

The statistical analysis shows that West Ham has an average of nearly 2 goals scored at home per game but also concedes quite a bit (2 goals conceded), and has a higher shot average (11 vs. 7 for Fulham). However, they have less ball possession (44%) compared to the opponent (49%), indicating a more reactive game or difficulties in offensive build-up.

Based on median odds, the implied normalized probabilities are: West Ham win ~36%, draw ~27%, Fulham win ~37%. Considering recent team statistics — especially West Hams defensive fragility combined with the urgent need for points — I would slightly adjust these probabilities to favor the visitor: roughly 33% for West Ham win, 25% for draw, and 42% for Fulham win.

Thus, fair odds would be approximately: 3.03 for West Ham win, 4.0 for draw, and about 2.38 for Fulham win.

Looking at the final odds offered by bookmakers: West Ham win at 2.625; Draw at 3.4; Fulham win at 2.6 — we see positive value only in the bet on the visitor according to our EV calculation (~8%).

Suggestion: The recommended bet is on Fulhams victory due to the positive expected value (~8%), as they are in a better recent phase, defensively solid even away from home, while the opponent is experiencing a strong technical/psychological crisis.

“The Bets Kenya model also suggests value in the bet on the visitor with a positive EV close to our calculation.”

Conclusion:

Betting on Fulham seems like a good move here! They have shown important defensive consistency in recent matches while facing a pressured rival playing at their usual stadium but without high tactical or moral stability.
⚽💰

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Analysis from West Ham x Fulham for the England Premier League – 27 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for West Ham x Fulham right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1456398 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Latest news on the match between West Ham and Fulham

West Ham: West Ham is going through a tough phase, sitting in the relegation zone after a 3-0 defeat to Manchester City, leaving them three points behind safety and marking their tenth loss of the troubled season, with coach Nuno Espírito Santo under increasing pressure; the clubs transfer agenda for January focuses on securing a proven center forward – with Adama Traoré from Fulham, a former Wolves player and known to Nuno, highlighted as a top target, along with a potentially costly signing of Ivan Toney from Al Ahli – while also monitoring free agents such as midfielder George Earthy and goalkeeper Łukasz Fabiański, and preparing for the departure of several contractless players including Callum Wilson, Guido Rodríguez, Andrew Irving, Earthy, and Fabiański at seasons end.

Fulham: Fulham secured a 1-0 home victory over Nottingham Forest on December 22, 2025, with an early penalty converted by veteran striker Raúl Jiménez, giving the Cottagers two consecutive wins in the Premier League and moving them away from the relegation zone, while manager Marco Silva praised the teams defensive solidity and mentioned the impact of recent injuries – Rodrigo Muniz remains sidelined after surgery and wing options are limited with Alex Iwobi and Samuel Chukwueze at the African Cup of Nations – and Harry Wilson, fresh from an interview highlighting his three goals and three assists in his last four league games, emerged as a key offensive threat; looking ahead, Fulhams transfer strategy for January 2026 focuses on planning the eventual departure of veteran Jiménez (who is in the last year of his contract) and exploring substitutes for contractless players including Ryan Sessegnon, Harry Wilson, Traoré, and Tom Cairney, with West Ham eyeing Traoré and the club having previously targeted Rômulo before his transfer to RB Leipzig.

Table analysis for the game between West Ham and Fulham

West Ham: West Hams situation is quite complicated, as they occupy 18th place in the table, in the relegation zone, with only 13 points. With several teams above in the safe margin totaling almost double the points, the match against Fulham is practically a must-win to try to escape the Z-3. Every point can make a difference in the fight to avoid relegation to the second division, so the match is extremely important for West Ham to stay in the Premier League.

Fulham: Fulham is in 13th place with 23 points, relatively far from the relegation zone and without a spot for international competitions. Thus, the game is important for Fulham to secure a comfortable stay in the top flight and try to climb a few positions in the table, but it is not decisive for major goals like the title or European qualification, so it has moderate importance, especially to keep distance from dangerous spots.

Summary: The game is quite important for West Ham in the direct fight against relegation, while for Fulham it mainly serves to consolidate their stay without extreme pressure. Therefore, the match has greater importance for one of the teams, West Ham, but still retains significant value for Fulham.

Tips for the Match Odds market for West Ham x Fulham

Is betting on West Ham worth it?

🔵 West Ham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $630.00;
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$10.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $528.00;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Fulham?

🔴 Fulham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
• And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$50.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match West Ham x Fulham

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 West Ham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for West Ham x Fulham

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 West Ham and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 West Ham.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 West Ham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for West Ham x Fulham

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.