Liverpool x Wolverhampton Betting tips for December 27 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Liverpool x Wolverhampton, Saturday, 27/12/2025

📅 27/12/2025 15:00

Liverpool 1.22

X 6.50

Wolverhampton 11.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Liverpool x Wolverhampton:

🔮 Liverpool wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool, you can win up to $610.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Liverpool x Wolverhampton:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-87.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolverhampton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Wolverhampton, Liverpool scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Wolverhampton conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Liverpool has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Wolverhampton playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Wolverhampton as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

🤖 What’s ChatGPT’s opinion on our prediction for Liverpool vs Wolverhampton?

Lets analyze the match between Liverpool and Wolverhampton at Anfield Stadium, home of Liverpool, which is one of the biggest and most iconic stadiums in the Premier League, with a capacity of over 61,000 fans. This certainly gives Liverpool a strong home advantage.

📈 Table analysis: Liverpool has been performing much better than Wolverhampton. In the last 5 home games, Liverpool scored an average of 1 goal per game and conceded 1.6 goals (8 goals in 5 games), while Wolverhampton has been conceding many goals away (11 goals in 5 games) and scoring very few (0.2 goals per game). Additionally, Wolves have lost all their last five away league matches, showing a very poor form.

📰 Recent news: Liverpool faces the significant absence of forward Alexander Isak due to a suspected leg fracture, but still has Mohamed Salah back after recent controversy — this keeps their attack strong despite the injury. Wolverhampton, on the other hand, is in a deep crisis with ten consecutive league defeats and is urgently seeking reinforcements to escape the relegation zone; this negative psychological state weighs against them.

Based on median odds, the implied normalized probabilities are: Liverpool win ~77%, draw ~14%, Wolves win ~9%. Considering recent offensive/defensive stats and the strength of Anfield as a decisive factor, my fair estimate would be close to this or even slightly more favorable to the home team due to the visitors defensive fragility.

The fair odds for Liverpool victory should be around 1.25-1.30 considering their dominance in shots (21 per game vs 6 for visitors) and high possession (59% vs 42%). The odds for a draw should be higher than the current offered (~7), as a balanced result is not impossible despite the clear advantage; the odds for an away win should be even higher (~11), given their poor form.

Final odds analysis:
– Liverpool win: approximately 1.22
– Draw: around 7
– Wolves win: around 11

The betting suggestion from the Clube da Aposta model indicates positive value only for the home team win with an estimated EV above +18%, but its predictions are extremely optimistic about the actual probability of this win (>97%), greatly underestimating the real chances of other outcomes — especially a draw or an upset for the visitors.

Final suggestion: I fully agree that betting on Liverpools victory makes sense here 🏆! They have broad technical/tactical/physical dominance evidenced by recent stats and the natural pressure of playing at Anfield packed with fans.
However, I recommend caution regarding exaggerated expectations about near-absolute probabilities indicated by the model — there is always a minimal but real chance for both a draw and an upset.
The expected value calculated for betting on the Reds win is above +15%, indicating a good opportunity with minimal risk!

Looking for another bookie to bet on Liverpool x Wolverhampton?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Liverpool x Wolverhampton, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Liverpool x Wolverhampton for the England Premier League – 27 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Liverpool x Wolverhampton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1456398 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

The latest news about Liverpool x Wolverhampton

Liverpool: Liverpools forward, Alexander Isak, suffered a suspected leg fracture after scoring his opening goal in the 2-1 victory over Tottenham, an injury that is expected to keep him out for an extended period and may force the club to seek offensive reinforcements in the January transfer window; rumors link Liverpool to winger Antoine Semenyo as a potential signing at the end of the month, while coach Arne Slot suggested the club might still be active despite a quiet January so far. Mohamed Salah publicly apologized to the squad after a heated interview and has since been reintegrated, contributing to the teams recent performances.

Wolverhampton Wanderers: Wolverhampton Wanderers recently suffered a 0-2 home defeat to Brentford, a loss that left the club near the bottom of the Premier League table and prompted defender Matt Doherty to encourage his teammates not to be remembered as cowards after the setback; the teams recent form has been poor, with a series of defeats culminating in ten consecutive losses, and they are now seeking reinforcements in the January transfer market, targeting a goalkeeper, right-back, central midfielders, a winger, a number 10, and a striker, as well as considering loans for squad players not regularly playing and evaluating several secondary players like Anthony Patterson, Luke O’Nien, and Dan Neil, whose contracts expire this summer.

England Premier League table analysis for Liverpool x Wolverhampton

Liverpool: Liverpool is in 5th place with 29 points, fighting for a spot in the UEFA Europa League, but still close to the positions that secure the Champions League (4th place with 29 points as well). This match is important to maintain or even improve their position in the table, especially because they are only one point behind Chelsea, which guarantees the last spot for the Champions League. The game is an excellent opportunity for the team to solidify their position among the qualifiers for European competitions and continue the fight for a more privileged spot.

Wolverhampton: Wolverhampton is in the last position with only 2 points and is in an almost irreversible situation to avoid relegation, which is confirmed for the bottom teams. Considering the huge gap to the other teams, this match will hardly change the teams fate in the competition, making it of low importance for the club, which will hardly be able to reverse the situation.

Summary: An important game for Liverpool, aiming to secure a spot in international tournaments, but irrelevant for Wolverhampton, which is already practically relegated. ⚽🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for Liverpool x Wolverhampton

Is betting on Liverpool worth it?

🔵 Liverpool: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 96.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 970 times – this would give you a profit of $213.40
• And would have lost other 30 times – with a loss of -$30.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$183.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $165.00;
• And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$805.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Wolverhampton?

🔴 Wolverhampton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 11.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 10 times – profiting $105.00;
• And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$885.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Liverpool x Wolverhampton

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Liverpool
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Liverpool x Wolverhampton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.25 Liverpool and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Liverpool.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Liverpool.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Liverpool x Wolverhampton

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.