Bari x Avellino Betting tips for December 27 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Bari x Avellino, Saturday, 27/12/2025

📅 27/12/2025 18:30

Bari 2.31

X 3.09

Avellino 3.08

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bari x Avellino:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Bari x Avellino

Important information for your tip for Bari x Avellino:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bari in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $40.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Avellino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Bari scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Avellino, Bari scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Bari conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Bari has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Avellino.

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Analysis from Bari x Avellino for the Italy Serie B – 27 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bari x Avellino right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455935 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bari x Avellino

Should you bet on Bari?

🔵 Bari: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.31. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $550.20
• And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$29.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.09. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $647.90;
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$42.10.

Is it worth betting on Avellino?

🔴 Avellino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $582.40;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$137.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bari x Avellino

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bari
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bari x Avellino

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Bari and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Bari.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Avellino.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bari x Avellino

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.