Sunderland x Leeds Betting tips for December 28 in England Premier League
| 📅 28/12/2025 14:00 |
 Sunderland2.55 |
X 3.20 |
Leeds  2.75 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sunderland x Leeds:
🔮 Sunderland wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sunderland, you can win up to $1275.00!
The main points for the tip for Sunderland x Leeds:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sunderland in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $415.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Leeds in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Sunderland scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Leeds scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Leeds conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Sunderland x Leeds for the England Premier League – 28 of December
🏟️ Sunderland X Leeds – England Premier League
📅 28 of December, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Sunderland – Winning probability: 43.02% | Fair line: 2.32
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.83% | Fair line: 3.47
🔴 Leeds – Winning probability: 28.15% | Fair line: 3.55
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sunderland
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sunderland x Leeds right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1456309 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
The latest news about Sunderland x Leeds
Sunderland: Sunderland continued to impress in the 2025-26 Premier League, holding Brighton to a 0-0 draw on December 20, despite missing several players called up for AFCON, such as Noah Sadiki, Reinaldo Mandava, Bertrand Traoré, and Chemsdine Talbi. Coach Régis Le Bris praised the teams resilience and considered the point gained as “good”. Goalkeeper Robin Roefs was highlighted for his excellent xG prevention skills and strong start to the season, while dynamic midfielder Granit Xhaka is being praised as the most influential signing of the season. The clubs squad depth means the January transfer window will focus on modest additions – mainly wing options and possibly a defensive midfielder – while planning to release players who havent been regularly involved and managing several contract exits, including Angus Gunn, Willy Boly, Dennis Cirkin, Dan Neil, and Jay Matete.
Leeds United: Leeds United is having a great run in the Premier League, crushing Crystal Palace 4-1 at Elland Road on December 20, 2025, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin scoring twice, Ethan Ampadu netting in the second half, and Anton Stach sealing the win with a free-kick at the end of the match. The victory was marked by a denied penalty after a foul on Brenden Aaronson and an important save by Palaces goalkeeper Dean Henderson. Coach Daniel Farke, who switched to a flexible 3-5-2 system, confirmed the club will seek to strengthen wing positions in the January 2026 transfer window after Dan Jamess injury, highlighting interest in a player with Harry Wilsons profile, despite the failed negotiation at the deadline for Fulham. Additionally, Farke acknowledged that several players – goalkeeper Illan Meslier, full-back Sam Byram, defender Karl Darlow, and goalkeeper Alex Cairns – will be out of contract at the end of the season, and the club is open to selling players to free up resources for new signings.
Table analysis for the match between Sunderland x Leeds
Sunderland: Sunderlands team is currently in 6th place with 27 points, fighting for a spot in international competitions. The match against Leeds is very important for them, as winning could help them move away from direct competitors and even improve their position to qualify for the UEFA Europa League. Since they are close to the top group and there are rounds left until the end of the championship, this game has a big impact.
Leeds: Leeds is in 16th place with 19 points, very close to the relegation zone. The match is crucial to escape the risk of dropping to the Championship, as the points difference to the last places is small. Every point gained at this stage is essential to secure their stay in the English top flight, making this confrontation a real battle for Leeds.
Summary: This game is very important for both teams, as Sunderland seeks to establish itself in the fight for a spot in European competitions and Leeds fights to avoid relegation. A decisive clash for the expectations of both teams this season! ⚽🔥
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sunderland x Leeds
Is it a good idea to bet on Sunderland?
🔵 Sunderland: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $666.50;
- And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$96.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$72.00.
Should you bet on Leeds?
🔴 Leeds: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $490.00
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$230.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sunderland x Leeds
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sunderland
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sunderland x Leeds
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Sunderland and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Sunderland. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sunderland x Leeds
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
