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Home » Predictions » Others » Al-Ahli Doha x Umm Salal Betting tips for December 28 in Qatar Stars League
Sunday, 28 December 2025, 16h30 Qatar Stars League
Al-Ahli Doha Al-Ahli Doha
PREDICTION Al-Ahli Doha wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
Umm Salal Umm Salal
ODD: @1.92
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Al-Ahli Doha x Umm Salal Betting tips for December 28 in Qatar Stars League

Our betting tip for Al-Ahli Doha x Umm Salal, Sunday, 28/12/2025
📅 28/12/2025
16:30
Al-Ahli Doha Al-Ahli Doha
1.92
X
3.60
Umm Salal Umm Salal
3.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Al-Ahli Doha x Umm Salal:

🔮 Al-Ahli Doha wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al-Ahli Doha, you can win up to $960.00!

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Important information for your tip for Al-Ahli Doha x Umm Salal:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al-Ahli Doha in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Al-Ahli Doha scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Umm Salal scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Umm Salal matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Umm Salal conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Al-Ahli Doha conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Umm Salal.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Al-Ahli Doha x Umm Salal?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Al-Ahli Doha x Umm Salal, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Al-Ahli Doha x Umm Salal for the Qatar Stars League – 28 of December

🏟️ Al-Ahli Doha X Umm Salal – Qatar Stars League
📅 28 of December, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 Al-Ahli Doha – Winning probability: 54.79% | Fair line: 1.83
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.37% | Fair line: 5.76
🔴 Umm Salal – Winning probability: 27.85% | Fair line: 3.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Al-Ahli Doha
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al-Ahli Doha x Umm Salal right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1456114 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Al-Ahli Doha x Umm Salal

Is it a good idea to bet on Al-Ahli Doha?

🔵 Al-Ahli Doha: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – profiting $506.00;
  • And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$56.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $442.00
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$388.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Umm Salal?

🔴 Umm Salal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $644.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$76.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al-Ahli Doha x Umm Salal

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Al-Ahli Doha
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al-Ahli Doha x Umm Salal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Al-Ahli Doha, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Al-Ahli Doha.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Umm Salal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al-Ahli Doha x Umm Salal

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves