Algeria x Burkina Faso Betting tips for December 28 in Africa Cup of Nations
| 📅 28/12/2025 17:30 |
 Algeria1.91 |
X 3.30 |
Burkina Faso  4.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Algeria x Burkina Faso:
🔮 Algeria wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Algeria, you can win up to $955.00!
🔮 Burkina Faso wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Burkina Faso, you can win up to $2000.00!
The main points for the tip for Algeria x Burkina Faso:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Algeria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-59.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Algeria scored at least 1 goal(s).
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Algeria x Burkina Faso?
Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2025, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from Algeria x Burkina Faso for the Africa Cup of Nations – 28 of December
🏟️ Algeria X Burkina Faso – Africa Cup of Nations
📅 28 of December, 2025 – 17:30
🔵 Algeria – Winning probability: 58.60% | Fair line: 1.71
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.66% | Fair line: 6.39
🔴 Burkina Faso – Winning probability: 25.74% | Fair line: 3.88
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Algeria
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on Algeria x Burkina Faso is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1456114 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Algeria x Burkina Faso
Should you bet on Algeria?
🔵 Algeria: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $536.90;
- And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$126.90.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $368.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$472.00.
Is betting on Burkina Faso worth it?
🔴 Burkina Faso: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $780.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$40.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Algeria x Burkina Faso
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Algeria
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Algeria x Burkina Faso
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Algeria and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Algeria.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Burkina Faso.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Algeria x Burkina Faso
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
