Crystal Palace x Fulham Betting tips for January 1 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Crystal Palace x Fulham, Thursday, 1/1/2026

📅 1/1/2026 17:30

Crystal Palace 2.07

X 3.40

Fulham 3.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Crystal Palace x Fulham:

🔮 Crystal Palace wins the match
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Some important points for the tip for Crystal Palace x Fulham:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fulham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $285.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Fulham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Crystal Palace conceded at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 Critical insight from ChatGPT on the prediction for Crystal Palace vs Fulham:

Lets analyze the match between Crystal Palace and Fulham at Selhurst Park, the traditional stadium of Crystal Palace, which remains their true home ground. 🏟️

📈 Crystal Palace has been struggling offensively at home, scoring only 3 goals in the last 5 home games and conceding 8 goals in the same period. Additionally, they havent won any of these recent home matches (0 wins, 3 losses). The possession average is slightly unfavorable (48%), with more shots conceded than taken inside their stadium. Meanwhile, Fulham is on a winning streak with three consecutive victories in the Premier League and has a more productive away attack (7 goals in the last 5 away games), although their defense is also vulnerable (7 goals conceded). The visiting team has a lower possession average (45%) but compensates with efficiency in shots on target.

The median odds indicate a slight advantage for Crystal Palace: home win at 2.07, draw at 3.4, and away win at 3.6.

Based on the normalized implied probabilities from the median odds, we have approximately: home win ~47%, draw ~28%, away win ~25%. Considering recent stats and team form — especially Fulhams good recent run — I would adjust these probabilities to roughly: home ~44%, draw ~27%, away ~29%.

Converting this into fair odds, we get something like: home win around @2.27; draw @3.70; Fulham win @3.45.

Looking at the final odds offered by bookmakers (@2.15 for Crystal Palace; @3.4 for draw; @3.4 for Fulham), we see value in betting on the home team according to our calculation — as bookmakers are paying slightly less than our estimated fair odds (@2.27 vs @2.15) but still offer considerable positive value considering the risk-benefit analysis with recent news and stats.

📰 About the news: Crystal Palace has been facing clear issues finishing their created chances, as evidenced by their recent defeat against Tottenham despite dominating possession and creating clear opportunities without scoring — this could negatively impact their offensive confidence in this match.
On the other hand, Fulham is on an important winning streak with three consecutive league wins and high motivation after recently beating West Ham — but they face significant contractual uncertainties that could affect their focus or squad strength in the near future.

Overall, I partially agree with the Bets Kenya model that suggests positive value on betting for the home team (Crystal Palace) — indicating an EV above 10% — while dismissing bets on the draw or away team due to significant negative expected values.

My recommendation is to bet on Crystal Palace, taking advantage of the scenario where they play at their usual stadium Selhurst Park despite recent offensive issues — I believe they will seek redemption in front of their fans against a strong but still defensively vulnerable away opponent.
Expected value is around +10% for this specific bet!

Lets seize this opportunity! ⚽🔥

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Analysis from Crystal Palace x Fulham for the England Premier League – 1 of January

Latest news on the match between Crystal Palace and Fulham

Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace suffered a 1-0 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur at Selhurst Park on December 28, 2025, with young Archie Gray, aged 19, scoring his first goal for the senior team and securing the victory. The Eagles inability to finish chances again highlighted their status as the most underperforming team in xG in the Premier League, despite dominating possession. Coach Oliver Glasner expressed frustration with ongoing finishing issues and warned that the clear need for reinforcements in the January transfer window must be addressed, noting that although Palace has six players among the top thirteen in minutes played across all competitions, low conversion of opportunities has been a recurring problem this season.

Fulham: Fulham achieved a dramatic 1-0 victory over West Ham United on December 27, 2025, with Raul Jiménez heading in the winning goal at the 85th minute, giving the Cottagers three consecutive league wins and moving them into the upper half of the table. Manager Marco Silva now has more Premier League wins against West Ham than against any other opponent. As the season nears its end, Fulham faces several contractual decisions: key players like Ryan Sessegnon, Harry Wilson, Adama Traoré, Raul Jiménez, and Tom Cairney have contracts expiring at the end of the campaign, with West Ham interested in Traoré and the club seeking top options to replace him. Meanwhile, Fulham’s attacking options remain Raul Jiménez, in the last year of his contract, and Rodrigo Muniz, recovering from surgery, while the summer target Romulo was linked to the club before transferring to RB Leipzig.

Table analysis for the match between Crystal Palace and Fulham

Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace is in 9th place with 26 points, far from the totals needed to compete for European qualification this season, considering that the 5th place has 29 points. However, it is also comfortably above the relegation zone, as the 17th has 18 points. With the season ongoing and a safe separation from the relegation zone, this match is important for Crystal Palace to maintain its consistency and points, but it is not decisive for larger objectives at this stage of the championship.

Fulham: Fulham is right behind Crystal Palace, in 10th place with 26 points as well. Like the opponent, it is not threatened by relegation and is also distant from the Europa League spots. This match is valuable for Fulham to stay firm in the middle of the table, avoiding relegation and solidifying the season, but it will not lead to major changes in the final standings if the team continues with this points average. The main motivation will be to maintain good performance and avoid setbacks.

Summary: The game is important for both teams in the fight for the middle of the table and maintaining a stable season, but it will not be decisive for securing a spot in international competitions or avoiding relegation, thus being a medium-impact match for Crystal Palace and Fulham.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Crystal Palace x Fulham

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Crystal Palace x Fulham right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1457092 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is it worth betting on Crystal Palace?

🔵 Crystal Palace: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 510 times – profiting $545.70;
• And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$55.70.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $600.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$150.00.

Is betting on Fulham worth it?

🔴 Fulham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $598.00;
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$172.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Crystal Palace x Fulham

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Crystal Palace
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crystal Palace x Fulham

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Crystal Palace, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Crystal Palace.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Fulham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crystal Palace x Fulham

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.