Aston Villa x Nottm Forest Betting tips for January 3 in England Premier League
| 📅 3/1/2026 12:30 |
 Aston Villa1.76 |
X 3.65 |
Nottm Forest  4.51 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Aston Villa x Nottm Forest:
🔮 Aston Villa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aston Villa, you can win up to $880.00!
Important information for your tip for Aston Villa x Nottm Forest:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $638.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nottm Forest in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $553.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Aston Villa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Nottm Forest, Aston Villa scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Nottm Forest conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Aston Villa is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Aston Villa has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Nottm Forest playing at home.
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Analysis from Aston Villa x Nottm Forest for the England Premier League – 3 of January
🏟️ Aston Villa X Nottm Forest – England Premier League
📅 3 of January, 2026 – 12:30
🔵 Aston Villa – Winning probability: 60.72% | Fair line: 1.65
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.53% | Fair line: 4.25
🔴 Nottm Forest – Winning probability: 15.76% | Fair line: 6.35
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
Tips for the Match Odds market for Aston Villa x Nottm Forest
When the best bet on Aston Villa x Nottm Forest is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1457665 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Should you bet on Aston Villa?
🔵 Aston Villa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $463.60
- And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$73.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $636.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$124.00.
Is betting on Nottm Forest worth it?
🔴 Nottm Forest: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $561.60;
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$278.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Aston Villa x Nottm Forest
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Nottm Forest
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Aston Villa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Aston Villa.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aston Villa x Nottm Forest
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
