Brighton x Burnley Betting tips for January 3 in England Premier League
| 📅 3/1/2026 15:00 |
 Brighton1.50 |
X 4.20 |
Burnley  6.40 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Brighton x Burnley:
🔮 Brighton wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brighton, you can win up to $750.00!
Some important points for the tip for Brighton x Burnley:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Brighton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Burnley in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Burnley scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Burnley conceded at least 1 goal(s).
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Brighton x Burnley?
If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:
Analysis from Brighton x Burnley for the England Premier League – 3 of January
🏟️ Brighton X Burnley – England Premier League
📅 3 of January, 2026 – 15:00
🔵 Brighton – Winning probability: 84.01% | Fair line: 1.19
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.25% | Fair line: 8.89
🔴 Burnley – Winning probability: 4.74% | Fair line: 21.09
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Brighton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
Tips for the 1×2 market for Brighton x Burnley
When the best bet on Brighton x Burnley is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1457665 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Is it worth betting on Brighton?
🔵 Brighton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 84.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 840 times – having a profit of $420.00;
- And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$260.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $352.00;
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$538.00.
Is it worth betting on Burnley?
🔴 Burnley: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $270.00;
- And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$680.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Brighton x Burnley
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Brighton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brighton x Burnley
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Brighton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Brighton.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Brighton.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brighton x Burnley
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
