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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Bournemouth x Arsenal Betting tips for January 3 in England Premier League
Saturday, 03 January 2026, 17h30 England Premier League
Bournemouth Bournemouth
PREDICTION Arsenal Wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Arsenal Arsenal
ODD: @1.58
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Bournemouth x Arsenal Betting tips for January 3 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Bournemouth x Arsenal, Saturday, 3/1/2026
📅 3/1/2026
17:30
Bournemouth Bournemouth
5.30
X
4.10
Arsenal Arsenal
1.58

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bournemouth x Arsenal:

🔮 Arsenal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $790.00!

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Important information for your tip for Bournemouth x Arsenal:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bournemouth in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Arsenal scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Bournemouth matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bournemouth x Arsenal for the England Premier League – 3 of January

🏟️ Bournemouth X Arsenal – England Premier League
📅 3 of January, 2026 – 17:30
🔵 Bournemouth – Winning probability: 6.45% | Fair line: 15.51
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.62% | Fair line: 5.37
🔴 Arsenal – Winning probability: 74.93% | Fair line: 1.33
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Bournemouth
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bournemouth x Arsenal

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bournemouth and Arsenal.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1457665 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it a good idea to bet on Bournemouth?

🔵 Bournemouth: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $258.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$682.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $589.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$221.00.

Is betting on Arsenal worth it?

🔴 Arsenal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $435.00
  • And would lose other 250 times – having a loss of -$250.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$185.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bournemouth x Arsenal

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Bournemouth
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bournemouth x Arsenal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Bournemouth, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Bournemouth.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bournemouth x Arsenal

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves