Sporting x Guimaraes Betting tips for January 6 in Portugal League Cup
| 📅 6/1/2026 20:00 |
Sporting1.36 |
X 4.68 |
Guimaraes ![]() 7.16 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sporting x Guimaraes:
🔮 Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting, you can win up to $680.00!
The main points for the tip for Sporting x Guimaraes:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $81.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Guimaraes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $950.0.
👉 Sporting did not concede a goal in the last 6 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Sporting scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Guimaraes, Sporting scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Sporting matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Sporting is good playing home: it has 8 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Guimaraes has not lost any of them.
👉 Sporting has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Guimaraes.
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Sporting x Guimaraes?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sporting x Guimaraes, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Sporting x Guimaraes for the Portugal League Cup – 6 of January
🏟️ Sporting X Guimaraes – Portugal League Cup
📅 6 of January, 2026 – 20:00
🔵 Sporting – Winning probability: 90.59% | Fair line: 1.1
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.28% | Fair line: 15.91
🔴 Guimaraes – Winning probability: 3.13% | Fair line: 31.97
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Sporting
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sporting x Guimaraes
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sporting and Guimaraes.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1458119 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Is betting on Sporting worth it?
🔵 Sporting: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 90.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 910 times – profiting $327.60;
- And would lose other 90 times – having a loss of -$90.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$237.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $220.80;
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$719.20.
Is betting on Guimaraes worth it?
🔴 Guimaraes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $184.80
- And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$785.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting x Guimaraes
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Sporting
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting x Guimaraes
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.0 Sporting and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Sporting.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Sporting.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting x Guimaraes
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Sporting