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Home » Predictions » America MG U20 x Noroeste U20 Betting tips for January 3 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
Saturday, 03 January 2026, 23h15 Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
America MG U20 America MG U20
PREDICTION America MG U20 wins Probability 94% 1 X 2
Noroeste U20 Noroeste U20
ODD: @1.38
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America MG U20 x Noroeste U20 Betting tips for January 3 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup

Our betting tip for America MG U20 x Noroeste U20, Saturday, 3/1/2026
📅 3/1/2026
23:15
America MG U20 America MG U20
1.38
X
4.20
Noroeste U20 Noroeste U20
6.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for America MG U20 x Noroeste U20:

🔮 America MG U20 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on America MG U20, you can win up to $690.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for America MG U20 x Noroeste U20:

👉 If you had bet $100 on America MG U20 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $154.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, America MG U20 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Noroeste U20 scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from America MG U20 x Noroeste U20 for the Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup – 3 of January

🏟️ America MG U20 X Noroeste U20 – Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
📅 3 of January, 2026 – 23:15
🔵 America MG U20 – Winning probability: 94.66% | Fair line: 1.06
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.00% | Fair line: 33.37
🔴 Noroeste U20 – Winning probability: 2.34% | Fair line: 42.67
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 America MG U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Tips for the 1×2 market for America MG U20 x Noroeste U20

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for America MG U20 x Noroeste U20 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1458320 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Should you bet on America MG U20?

🔵 America MG U20: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 94.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 950 times – profiting $361.00;
  • And would lose other 50 times – having a loss of -$50.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$311.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $96.00;
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$874.00.

Is it worth betting on Noroeste U20?

🔴 Noroeste U20: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $110.00
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$870.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match America MG U20 x Noroeste U20

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 America MG U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for America MG U20 x Noroeste U20

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 America MG U20 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 America MG U20.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 America MG U20.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for America MG U20 x Noroeste U20

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves