Fulham x Chelsea Betting tips for January 7 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Fulham x Chelsea, Wednesday, 7/1/2026

📅 7/1/2026 19:30

Fulham 3.35

X 3.50

Chelsea 2.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Fulham x Chelsea:

🔮 Fulham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fulham, you can win up to $1675.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Fulham x Chelsea:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Fulham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-40.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-360.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Fulham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Chelsea scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Chelsea conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Fulham conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Chelsea.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Chelsea has not lost any of them.

🤖 What does ChatGPT say about our prediction for Fulham vs Chelsea?

Lets analyze the match between Fulham and Chelsea at Craven Cottage, Fulhams traditional stadium, which has a capacity of about 25,700 fans and is known for its intimate and historic atmosphere.

📈 Table analysis: Chelsea is in a better position in the Premier League, occupying fifth place, but is going through a turbulent period with the departure of coach Enzo Maresca after recent poor results. Fulham, on the other hand, is seeking to establish itself in the league with a team blending experience and youth under Marco Silva. This difference in team situations can greatly influence motivation: Chelsea needs to react to secure a top 4 spot, while Fulham wants to leverage home advantage to earn important points.

Fulham averages nearly 2 goals at home per game (9 goals in 5 matches), but also concedes quite a few (9 goals conceded). They have a balanced shot count (13 shots per game) and good ball possession (54%). Chelsea away has a lower average of goals scored (1 goal per game) and concedes less (1 goal), but shows more fouls committed and yellow cards received, indicating possible aggression or tactical loss of control.

Based on median odds, the implied probabilities are normalized: Fulham ~28%, draw ~27%, Chelsea ~45%. Considering Fulhams balanced offensive stats at home against Chelseas recent instability with coaching changes, my adjusted estimate would be: Fulham win 30%, draw 30%, Chelsea win 40%.

Calculating fair odds based on this analysis yields values close to:

• Fulham: ~3.33
• Draw: ~3.33
• Chelsea: ~2.50

Looking at the final odds offered by betting houses — the betting focal point — they are close to these estimates for a draw (~3.6) and away win (~2.1), but slightly underestimate the home team (~3.3 vs. fair estimate >3). This suggests potential value in a bet on the home victory.

Expected values calculated by the Bets Kenya model show a positive EV only for the home win (+11.85%), reinforcing the idea of value in betting on the Cottagers.

📰 Recent news:
Fulham showed resilience by dramatically drawing against Liverpool with a late goal; this demonstrates mental strength playing at home.
Chelsea faces technical instability after recent head coach departure; they even held a draw against Manchester City but have only one win in their last seven league games — a clear sign of a tough phase that could weigh against a motivated local opponent.

Final suggestion:
Bet on Fulhams victory, taking advantage of their strength at Craven Cottage combined with Chelseas current fragility, which seems to be a good opportunity with a positive expected value above 10%. It’s that classic situation where the “smaller” team plays freely under pressure on the visitors.

Avoid bets on the draw or away win given the low EV in these options according to our calculations.

Let’s seize this chance! ⚽🔥

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Analysis from Fulham x Chelsea for the England Premier League – 7 of January

Latest news on the match between Fulham and Chelsea

Fulham: Fulham was at the heart of the Premier League action this January, drawing 2‑2 with Liverpool at Craven Cottage on January 4, 2026, after Harrison Reed scored an equalizer in the 97th minute, denying the Reds a win, who had already scored through Harry Wilson, Florian Wirtz, and Cody Gakpo; earlier in the season, the Cottagers earned a point with a 1‑1 draw at Crystal Palace, when veteran Tom Cairney, aged 34 years and 346 days, scored his first goal of the campaign, becoming one of the oldest players to score for Fulham in Premier League history, and under Marco Silva’s management, the team continues to blend experienced players with emerging talents while seeking a better position.

Chelsea: Chelsea saw Enzo Maresca leave the head coach position on January 1, 2026, after 18 months in charge, leaving the club in fifth place in the Premier League, 15 points behind leaders Arsenal, with only one win in the last seven league games despite previous successes in the Club World Cup and the Europa Conference League; interim coach Calum McFarlane took over as management moves quickly to find a permanent coach, with Strasbourg’s Liam Rosenior as the leading candidate and expected to meet with the sports leadership on Monday, and the Blues recently held a 1‑1 draw against Manchester City, with Enzo Fernández scoring a late goal to keep Chelsea in the top 4 race.

Table analysis for the match between Fulham and Chelsea

Fulham: The match against Chelsea is quite important for Fulham, which is currently in 11th place with 28 points, just 3 points behind Chelsea, which is in 5th, a position that guarantees access to European competitions. Fulham needs a victory to try to get closer to the top group and increase their chances of qualifying for the Europa League, as well as distancing themselves from the teams just below. With the season still ongoing and the positions close in the table, every point counts for Fulham in their quest to improve their standing.

Chelsea: For Chelsea, which holds 5th place with 31 points and is in the UEFA Europa League qualification zone, the match is also crucial. A win could help the team solidify their fight for the G4, which guarantees a spot in the Champions League, since the 4th place, Liverpool, has 34 points, a small difference. Maintaining the lead over the teams just behind, like Fulham, is essential for Chelsea, making this confrontation decisive for their journey in the competition.

Summary: This match between Fulham and Chelsea is important for both teams, as it can directly influence their positions in the table, especially for Chelsea to pursue the Champions League and for Fulham to get closer to European spots.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fulham x Chelsea

When the best bet on Fulham x Chelsea is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1460156 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is betting on Fulham worth it?

🔵 Fulham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $752.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$72.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $550.00;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$230.00.

Should you bet on Chelsea?

🔴 Chelsea: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 460 times – profiting $506.00;
• And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$34.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fulham x Chelsea

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Fulham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fulham x Chelsea

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Fulham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Fulham.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Fulham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fulham x Chelsea

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.