Brentford x Sunderland Betting tips for January 7 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Brentford x Sunderland, Wednesday, 7/1/2026

📅 7/1/2026 19:30

Brentford 1.87

X 3.42

Sunderland 4.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Brentford x Sunderland:

🔮 Brentford wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brentford, you can win up to $935.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Brentford x Sunderland:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Brentford in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $165.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sunderland in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.

🤖 ChatGPT’s take on our prediction for Brentford vs Sunderland:

Lets analyze the match between Brentford and Sunderland at Brentford Community Stadium, a modern stadium with good capacity for the home team. Brentford has shown strength playing at home, with 3 wins and no losses in their last 5 home games, averaging 2.2 goals per game and conceding only 0.8 goals. Additionally, they have a slightly higher ball possession (53%) and more shots on target (12 per game) compared to Sunderland.

Sunderland, on the other hand, has been struggling away: no wins in their last five away matches, with only 0.4 goals scored on average against 1.2 conceded. Despite this, the visiting team has managed to hold important draws recently in the Premier League and is in a good position on the table for a newly promoted team.

The median odds indicate clear favoritism for Brentford (1.89), followed by a draw (3.4), and Sunderland as the underdog (4.2). Normalizing the implied probabilities from the median odds gives approximately: Brentford win ~52%, draw ~29%, Sunderland win ~19%. Considering recent offensive/defensive stats and news — where Brentford remains strong even without some key players while Sunderland fights to stay away from relegation zone — my fair estimate is close to these probabilities.

The Bets Kenya model suggests very low odds for the home win (~1.42), indicating a high probability (>70%), which seems exaggerated given the inherent uncertainties in football; the predicted odds for a draw (~5) and away win (~10+) seem overly inflated considering Sunderlands recent frequent draws.

Calculating the expected value using the final available odds: betting on Brentfords victory yields a significant positive EV (+26%), while a draw (-28%) or away win (-57%) show clear negative values.

Conclusion: I fully agree with the bet suggested by the model on Brentfords victory 🐝🏠! The team plays in their modern stadium where they are offensively strong; despite some absences, they remain competitive aiming for European qualification; Sunderland shows fragility away despite their overall good campaign so far.

📈 In the table, Brentford is among the top seven fighting for European qualification — this gives extra motivation to win at home against an opponent still fearing relegation according to their coach Régis Le Bris.

📰 The news confirms this analysis: highlight for Igor Thiago shining for Brentford even without some key starters; Sunderland maintains an undefeated home record but struggles away — reinforcing the clear advantage of the home team in this direct clash at Gtech Community Stadium!

Betting on Brentford victory, therefore, is the best choice here! 🚀⚽

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Brentford x Sunderland?

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Analysis from Brentford x Sunderland for the England Premier League – 7 of January

Latest news about Brentford x Sunderland

Brentford: Brentford has just beaten Everton 4-2 on January 4, 2026, with Igor Thiago completing a hat-trick and bringing his total in the Premier League to 14 goals, while Nathan Collins scored with a header the second goal from a corner – the teams first corner goal of the season. The Bees are now among the top seven and are fighting for a European spot, despite the absence of Dango Ouattara due to the Africa Cup of Nations, long-term injuries to Fabio Carvalho and Antoni Milambo, and limited availability of Jordan Henderson, all after selling Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa for 125 million pounds.

Sunderland: Sunderland continues to surprise in their Premier League debut, holding Manchester City to a goalless draw on January 1, 2026, extending their home unbeaten streak at the Stadium of Light to ten matches – the best run for a promoted team since Ipswich Town in the 1992/93 season. On January 4, 2026, they drew 1-1 with Tottenham Hotspur after a late equalizer by Brian Brobbey, marking their fourth consecutive draw and placing them eighth in the table, despite several absences due to the Africa Cup of Nations. Coach Régis Le Bris warned that the club “is still not safe from relegation,” while City’s Erling Haaland remains the only Premier League forward who has not scored against Sunderland this season.

Table analysis for the match between Brentford and Sunderland

Brentford: Brentford is in 7th place with 30 points, very close to the 5th and 6th positions, which qualify for European competitions. This match is crucial for them to keep the pressure and maybe advance to a spot in the UEFA Europa League. Winning could be an important step in fighting for these spots, as the table is very tight in this middle part.

Sunderland: Sunderland is right behind, in 8th place with 30 points as well, fighting to establish themselves in the middle of the table and seek European positions. The matchup against Brentford, a direct competitor, is decisive for Sunderlands plans in this final stretch. A victory could put them ahead and keep the chance to compete for something bigger this season.

Summary: This game is very important for both teams, as it is a direct confrontation in the fight for positions that could result in a spot in European competitions. The game promises to be competitive and have a significant impact on the table for Brentford and Sunderland.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Brentford x Sunderland

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Brentford x Sunderland right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1460156 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Should you bet on Brentford?

🔵 Brentford: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 69.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 700 times – profiting $609.00;
• And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$309.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $484.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$316.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sunderland?

🔴 Sunderland: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $320.00
• And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$580.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Brentford x Sunderland

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Brentford
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brentford x Sunderland

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Brentford, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Brentford.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Brentford.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brentford x Sunderland

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.