Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid Betting tips for January 8 in Spain Super Cup
| 📅 8/1/2026 19:00 |
 Atletico Madrid2.92 |
X 3.50 |
Real Madrid  2.20 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid:
🔮 Atletico Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Madrid, you can win up to $1460.00!
The main points for the tip for Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $247.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $101.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Atletico Madrid scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Real Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Real Madrid matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Atletico Madrid is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Real Madrid has not lost any of them.
👉 Atletico Madrid has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Real Madrid playing at home.
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2026, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid:
Analysis from Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid for the Spain Super Cup – 8 of January
🏟️ Atletico Madrid X Real Madrid – Spain Super Cup
📅 8 of January, 2026 – 19:00
🔵 Atletico Madrid – Winning probability: 45.77% | Fair line: 2.18
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.24% | Fair line: 6.16
🔴 Real Madrid – Winning probability: 37.99% | Fair line: 2.63
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Atletico Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid
When the best bet on Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1460349 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Is it worth betting on Atletico Madrid?
🔵 Atletico Madrid: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 460 times – profiting $883.20;
- And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$343.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $400.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$440.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Real Madrid?
🔴 Real Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $456.00
- And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$164.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Atletico Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Atletico Madrid and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Atletico Madrid.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Atletico Madrid.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
