Charlton x Chelsea Betting tips for January 10 in England FA Cup
| 📅 10/1/2026 20:00 |
 Charlton7.75 |
X 4.90 |
Chelsea  1.35 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Charlton x Chelsea:
🔮 Chelsea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $675.00!
Important information for your tip for Charlton x Chelsea:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Charlton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-15.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-360.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Charlton scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Chelsea scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Chelsea conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Charlton x Chelsea for the England FA Cup – 10 of January
🏟️ Charlton X Chelsea – England FA Cup
📅 10 of January, 2026 – 20:00
🔵 Charlton – Winning probability: 7.23% | Fair line: 13.84
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.03% | Fair line: 16.6
🔴 Chelsea – Winning probability: 86.75% | Fair line: 1.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Charlton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
Tips for the 1×2 market for Charlton x Chelsea
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Charlton and Chelsea.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1460349 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Is it worth betting on Charlton?
🔵 Charlton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 70 times – profiting $472.50;
- And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$457.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 60 times – profiting $234.00;
- And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$706.00.
Is betting on Chelsea worth it?
🔴 Chelsea: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 870 times – this would give you a profit of $304.50
- And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$174.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Charlton x Chelsea
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Charlton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Charlton x Chelsea
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.5 Charlton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Charlton.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Chelsea.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Charlton x Chelsea
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
