Iguatu x Maranguape Betting tips for January 8 in Brazil Campeonato Cearense

Our betting tip for Iguatu x Maranguape, Thursday, 8/1/2026

📅 8/1/2026 22:00

Iguatu 1.55

X 3.90

Maranguape 5.38

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Iguatu x Maranguape:

🔮 Iguatu wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Iguatu, you can win up to $775.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Iguatu x Maranguape:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Iguatu in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $107.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Maranguape in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $69.0.

🤖 What does ChatGPT say about our prediction for Iguatu vs Maranguape?

⚽ The match between Iguatu and Maranguape is expected to be balanced, but with a slight favoritism for Iguatu, which plays at home at Moreno Stadium, their usual field. The statistics show that Iguatu has a solid home performance in the last 5 matches (3 wins and an average of 1 goal per game), while Maranguape has a more consistent defense away from home (average of 0 goals conceded). The Bets Kenya model indicates very low odds for the home team’s victory and very high odds for a draw and the visitor’s win, suggesting a positive expected value only on betting on Iguatu’s victory.

📈 In the Cearense Championship table, Iguatu enters with a clear goal to fight for the state title and secure a spot in the national Serie D. Meanwhile, Maranguape returns to the top division after seven years and aims to establish itself among the best. This greater need for immediate results may favor the home team, which has more recent experience in the main competition.

📰 The news indicates that Iguatu has an experienced squad led by coach Washington Luiz, while Maranguape recently underwent a coaching change, which could impact their tactical stability at the start of the season. This reinforces the psychological advantage for the local team.

💡 My analysis suggests approximate fair probabilities: Iguatu win ~62%, Draw ~22%, Maranguape win ~16%. Converting these into fair odds, we get about 1.61 for the home win, 4.55 for a draw, and 6.25 for the away win — values close to the median odds of betting sites but less extreme than the very high predictions for draw/away made by the model.

✅ Therefore, I agree with the suggestion to bet on Iguatu’s victory as a value bet here (EV calculated above 15%), as they play at their traditional stadium with an experienced squad against an opponent still adjusting to returning to the state elite.

Final tip: Bet on Iguatu’s triumph, taking advantage of their good home form and recent technical uncertainties at Maranguape. Good luck! 🍀

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Iguatu x Maranguape?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2026. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Iguatu x Maranguape for the Brazil Campeonato Cearense – 8 of January

Latest news on Iguatu x Maranguape

Iguatu: Iguatu enters the 2026 Cearense Championship with a squad of 29 players including veterans like Talisson Calcinha, Thiaguinho Silva, Max Oliveira, and Rogério Pitbull, under the management of coach Washington Luiz; the clubs goal is to fight for the title, as well as to stay in the A Series of the state league and secure a spot in the D Series of the national championship. The debut is scheduled for January 8 at Morenão, when Iguatu faces Maranguape at 7 PM, in the Group B round of the competition.

Maranguape: Maranguape, the “Gavião da Serra”, returned to the Cearense top division in 2026 after winning the Série B title in 2025, ending a seven-year drought since their last participation in the first division in 2018; the club announced a last-minute coaching change, with João Neto taking over and Júnior Cearense also mentioned as coach. They now have a squad of 25 players – highlights include midfielder Robert and goalkeeper Douglas Dias – and their debut is already set for January 8, when they will face Iguatu at Morenão, aiming to finish among the best in the competition to secure a spot in the 2027 Série D.

Table analysis for the match between Iguatu and Maranguape

Iguatu: Iguatu is in Group B of the 2026 Cearense Championship, currently in third place in the group with 0 points, with no matches played yet. The phase is qualifying for the next stage called “Championship round”. Since we are still in round 1 of 4, this initial match against Maranguape is crucial for Iguatu to start well and position itself to advance. A victory would already bring 3 important points, boosting the team in the standings and reducing pressure for the upcoming rounds. The match is highly important, as any stumble could jeopardize the qualification goal.

Maranguape: Maranguape is in 4th place in Group B, also with 0 points and no matches played, but currently in the relegation zone to the “Relegation Round” if they do not qualify. Therefore, the team must earn points now to escape this risky position and stay in the fight for qualification to the final stage. The match against Iguatu is crucial for Maranguape to avoid starting with a defeat in the danger zone. Thus, the importance of this game for Maranguape is decisive to maintain chances in the championship and avoid future difficulties.

Summary: The match between Iguatu and Maranguape is extremely important for both teams. It represents an opportunity for Iguatu to establish itself in the qualification group for the next phase and for Maranguape to escape the relegation zone early in the initial round. Therefore, the match has high to decisive importance, with a direct impact on their chances to continue in the championship with clear qualification objectives.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Iguatu x Maranguape

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Iguatu x Maranguape right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1460537 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is it worth betting on Iguatu?

🔵 Iguatu: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 76.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $423.50
• And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$193.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $319.00
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$571.00.

Should you bet on Maranguape?

🔴 Maranguape: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 120 times – profiting $525.60;
• And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$354.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Iguatu x Maranguape

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Iguatu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Iguatu x Maranguape

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Iguatu, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Iguatu.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Maranguape.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Iguatu x Maranguape

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.