Andraus Brasil x Athletico Paranaense Betting tips for January 8 in Brazil Campeonato Paranaense

Our betting tip for Andraus Brasil x Athletico Paranaense, Thursday, 8/1/2026

📅 8/1/2026 23:30

Andraus Brasil 3.10

X 3.15

Athletico Paranaense 2.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Andraus Brasil x Athletico Paranaense:

🔮 Athletico Paranaense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Athletico Paranaense, you can win up to $1100.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Andraus Brasil x Athletico Paranaense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Andraus Brasil in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $90.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletico Paranaense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-54.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Andraus Brasil scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Athletico Paranaense has not lost any of them.

🤖 ChatGPT’s take on our prediction for Andraus Brasil vs Athletico Paranaense:

Lets analyze the match between Andraus Brasil and Athletico Paranaense in the Paranaense Championship, which will take place at the Arena da Baixada, Athleticos usual stadium. This is an important point, as Athletico will have the advantage of playing at home.

Recent statistics show that Andraus has a modest home performance: scored 6 goals and conceded 9 in the last 5 home games, with only 2 wins and 3 losses. Additionally, their ball possession average is low (44%) compared to the opponent (56%), and they concede more shots (13 vs 8) and corners (8 vs 4). This indicates a vulnerable defense and difficulties in controlling the game.

On the other hand, Athletico shows better numbers away from home: averages 1 goal per game while conceding only 1; has higher ball possession (55%) and more accurate shots (5 vs 3). The visiting team also has key reinforcements for this season such as Juan Portilla, Alejandro García, and Gilberto. Coach Odair Hellmann maintains continuity despite a tough year.

Implicit probabilities of median odds:

• Andraus win: ~32.47%
• Draw: ~32.26%
• Athletico win: ~45.45%

Adjusting to sum to 100%, approximate fair probabilities are:

• Andraus victory: ~28%
• Draw: ~27.7%
• Athletico victory: ~44.3%

Given the favorable statistical scenario for Athletico — better recent attack/defense, home advantage at Arena da Baixada — my realistic estimate would be around:

• Andraus victory: about 25-28%
• Draw: about 25-30%
• Athletico victory: about 42-45%

Thus, fair odds for betting would be approximately:

• Fair odds Andraus win ≈ @3.6 – @4
• Fair odds draw ≈ @3.33 – @4
• Fair odds Athletico win ≈ @2.2 – @2.38

Analyzing the final odds offered by bookmakers:
Andraus is priced at @4 — aligned with my fair estimate;
Draw is priced at @3.25 — slightly below fair;
Athletico is priced at @1.833 — below the suggested fair (@2+), indicating little value in this bet.

However, the Bets Kenya model suggests a strong appreciation for the visitors bet with a positive EV (+23%), but its predicted odds are very low (@1.48), indicating an underestimation of the visitors actual chances considering the final odds.

📰 News affecting analysis:

They confirm that Andraus will play at Arena da Baixada as the home team in this state championship — meaning no change in the usual venue.
Coach Claudemir Sturion aims to keep the team competitive for staying in the top division.
Meanwhile, Athletico uses young aspirants reinforced by some experienced starters; they renewed Odair Hellmanns contract, maintaining the project despite difficulties.
These factors indicate a young but well-structured team seeking continuous improvement.

📈 Team position/morale analysis:

Both Andraus and Athletico seem focused on clear objectives this season:
– Andraus wants to ensure permanence
– Athletico aims to use the championship as a laboratory for youth for the future
This could indicate high motivation on both sides, but the technical quality of Furacãos squad is higher, even with reinforced young players.
Therefore, morale is slightly higher for Athletico due to its solid structure, even as a “B team”.

Conclusion / Final tip 🎯 :

Based on this, I partially disagree with the Bets Kenya model, which indicates value only on the visitor due to the very low odds suggested (@1.48 vs actual market >@1.8). My suggestion is to bet cautiously on a combination of draw or Athletico win, considering moderate expected value in these ranges.
Betting directly only on Athletico might be risky given the low returns at current odds.
Betting only on the home team doesnt seem to have value given their recent poor performance.
Stay alert for changes before the game!

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Andraus Brasil x Athletico Paranaense?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Andraus Brasil x Athletico Paranaense, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Andraus Brasil x Athletico Paranaense for the Brazil Campeonato Paranaense – 8 of January

Latest news on the match between Andraus Brasil and Athletico Paranaense

Andraus: Andraus makes its debut in the 2026 Paraná Championship on Thursday, January 8th, at 8:30 PM, against Athletico-PR at Arena da Baixada, where it will continue hosting its state league matches, with upcoming games against São Joseense (01/11), Cascavel (01/15), Foz do Iguaçu (01/17), Londrina (01/20), and Maringá (01/24). Coach Claudemir Sturion returns for his fourth stint leading the club, which strengthened its squad with experienced midfielder Thiago Primão (former Coritiba, 32 years old) and midfielder Caio Cézar (trained at Palmeiras and Cruzeiro). The probable lineup includes Carlão; Pagé, Daniel (Marcos), Recife, and Ronald; Marcos, Thiago Primão, and Valdivia; Caio Cézar, Lisboa, and Fábio Henrique. The goal is to secure top-tier status and aim for a spot in the 2027 Serie D, with matches broadcast on GOAT and Rede Furacão channels.

Athletico Paraná: Athletico Paraná started 2026 aiming to use the Paraná Championship as a laboratory for young players, beginning the first round against Andraus (01/08, 8:30 PM) and continuing against Cianorte (01/11, 5:30 PM), Operário-PR (01/15, 8:30 PM), Coritiba (01/17, 4 PM), Azuriz (01/20, 8 PM), and Galo Maringá (01/24, 4 PM) at Arena da Baixada. The Youth team—mainly players under 20 like Bruninho, Chiqueti, and Sorriso—will be reinforced with some starters (Belezi, Habraão, João Cruz, Dudu Kogitzki, and Renan Peixoto). The club confirmed four official signings: Colombian midfielder Juan Portilla (until 2028), midfielder Alejandro García, right-back Gilberto (ex-Palmeiras), and midfielder Jadson (ex-Juventude). Negotiations are ongoing for 13-year-old Santos youth star Kauan Basile. Coach Odair Hellmann renewed his contract through 2026, acknowledging the season as a “difficult year” but maintaining the project’s continuity. Furacão also adjusted its football partnership plans and announced ticket prices for the Paraná Championship, Serie A, and Copa do Brasil, aiming to reach the state finals after eliminations in the semifinals of 2024 and 2025.

Table analysis for the match between Andraus Brasil and Athletico Paranaense

Andraus Brasil: The team is in Group B of the 1st Division of the Paraná State Championship 2026, currently in 3rd place in the group, with 0 points after the start of the competition. With 6 rounds in the group stage, each match is highly important to secure a spot in the playoffs. Andraus Brasil has not scored yet, so winning is essential to start a solid campaign and keep hope for qualification. The performance at this start sets the teams motivation and confidence for the upcoming matches. 💪⚽️

Athletico Paranaense: Athletico is in Group A, also in 5th place, with no points after the first round. Like the opponent, they face a scenario where each point is valuable to guarantee a playoff spot. Athletico, traditionally stronger, is under pressure to win and start the campaign on the right foot to avoid future complications and aim for a top group finish. A victory will give important momentum in the quest for the state title. 🏆🔥

Summary: The match between Andraus Brasil and Athletico Paranaense is of high importance for both teams, as they are in the initial phase of the championship, with zero points, and need a win to start the campaign well, improve their position in the group, and increase their chances of advancing to the playoffs of the 2026 Paraná State Championship. The result will directly influence the teams morale, ranking, and future strategies. ⚽️🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for Andraus Brasil x Athletico Paranaense

When the best bet on Andraus Brasil x Athletico Paranaense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1460537 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Should you bet on Andraus Brasil?

🔵 Andraus Brasil: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $210.00
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$690.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $365.50
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$464.50.

Is betting on Athletico Paranaense worth it?

🔴 Athletico Paranaense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 73.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $888.00;
• And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$628.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Andraus Brasil x Athletico Paranaense

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Andraus Brasil
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Andraus Brasil x Athletico Paranaense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Andraus Brasil and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Andraus Brasil.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Andraus Brasil.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Andraus Brasil x Athletico Paranaense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.