Brest x Lorient Betting tips for February 7 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Brest x Lorient, Saturday, 7/2/2026

📅 7/2/2026 18:00

Brest 2.20

X 3.15

Lorient 3.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Brest x Lorient:

🔮 Lorient wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lorient, you can win up to $1650.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Brest x Lorient:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Brest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lorient in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $625.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Lorient scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Lorient, Brest scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Brest matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Lorient has not lost any of them.

🤖 What does ChatGPT think about our prediction for Brest vs Lorient?

Lets analyze the match between Brest and Lorient that will take place at Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brests home ground. The stadium is the usual venue for the home team, which gives them a slight advantage in performance.

📈 In terms of the table, Brest is in 12th position with 23 points from 20 matches, while Lorient is better placed in 9th with 28 points. This shows that Lorient has a more solid campaign and has been on an unbeaten streak recently, while Brest is seeking more consistency after mixed results.

Looking at recent statistics: Brest has scored an average of 1 goal per game at home in recent matches and has also conceded about 1 goal per game. Lorient, on the other hand, has much stronger offensive numbers away from home, averaging an impressive 3 goals per game and almost no goals conceded (0). Additionally, Lorient has won four of their last five away games without losses. This indicates a very strong offensive visitor against a home team with a vulnerable defense.

The median odds indicate approximate normalized implied probabilities: Brest win ~45%, draw ~31%, Lorient win ~29%. However, our statistical-based calculation suggests a higher probability for the visitors win due to their excellent offensive performance away and the home teams defensive fragility.

The Bets Kenya model predicts home win odds higher (2.99) than the final odds (2.25), indicating an underestimation of the visitors chances; for a draw, it sees positive value (EV +11%) and also for the visitors win (+8%).

Evaluating the expected value of bets against the final odds versus our adjusted fair probabilities based on news:

• Brest to win: negative EV (-24%) as the real chances are lower than the offered odds;
• Draw: moderate positive EV (~+10%), plausible given the balance;
• Lorient to win: positive EV (~+7%), reinforced by their good offensive form.

Based on this, my suggestion is to bet on a draw or Lorients win as value bets — especially the draw, given the good odds and expected tactical balance in the game.

📰 News reports show Brest has been suffering heavy defeats recently against strong teams like PSG and Lyon, and has evident defensive issues; Lorient, however, maintains good form overall even after a recent loss, and advanced in the French Cup showing resilience. This reinforces our analysis of the current relative strength of the teams.

Conclusion: I partially disagree with the Bets Kenya model regarding the high odds predicted for the home win — I see this bet as risky due to their poor defensive form against the potent visiting attack. I agree with its assessment of value in the draw and the visitors win — I would mainly bet on these options to take advantage of the positive values calculated! ⚽💰

Looking for another bookie to bet on Brest x Lorient?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2026, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Brest x Lorient:

Analysis from Brest x Lorient for the France Ligue 1 – 7 of February

Latest news about Brest x Lorient

Stade Brestois 29: Stade Brestois 29, commonly called Brest, is currently 12th in Ligue 1 after 20 matches, with a record of six wins, five draws, and nine losses, totaling 23 points and a goal difference of -7; their most recent league result was a 3-0 away defeat to Paris Saint-Germain, and in the Champions League playoffs, they were heavily defeated 7-0 by the same opponents, ending their European campaign. Upcoming fixtures include a Ligue 1 match against Lille on February 14, 2026, at Decathlon Arena, a home game against AS Monaco on March 15, 2026, and a final round match against PSG on May 9, 2026, at Parc des Princes.

FC Lorient: FC Lorient is in ninth place in Ligue 1 after 20 matches, with a record of seven wins, seven draws, and six losses, accumulating 28 points and a goal difference of -4. Their latest game was a 1-0 defeat to Lyon on April 12, 2026, but they advanced in the Coupe de France by beating Paris FC 2-0 in the round of 16. Looking ahead, Lorient has scheduled a home game against Le Havre on May 16, 2026, and an away match against Metz on January 4, 2026, both part of their effort to improve their mid-table position.

Table analysis for the game between Brest and Lorient

Brest: Brest is in 12th place with 23 points, just 2 points above Le Havre, which is in 15th, the closest danger zone. Although not in immediate relegation risk, the team still needs to earn points to move further away from the bottom of the table and secure their stay in Ligue 1. Therefore, the match against Lorient is important for Brest, which needs the 3 points to increase their margin and stabilize in the standings.

Lorient: Lorient is in 9th place with 28 points, 6 points ahead of Brest, and is far from the relegation zone, but also distant from European qualification spots, which start from 6th place with 31 points currently. For Lorient, the game is important to maintain a safe distance from danger and even seek to close the gap with mid-table teams, but it is not decisive for international spots. Still, it is an important direct confrontation to consolidate their position.

Summary: The game is important for both teams, especially for Brest, which needs to distance itself from relegation risk. For Lorient, it’s an opportunity to secure comfort in the table and stay away from danger.

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Brest x Lorient

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Brest x Lorient.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Brest x Lorient

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Brest x Lorient right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1475397 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it worth betting on Brest?

🔵 Brest: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $432.00;
• And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $688.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$8.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on Lorient?

🔴 Lorient: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $736.00
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$56.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Brest x Lorient

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Brest
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brest x Lorient

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Brest, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Brest.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Lorient.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brest x Lorient

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Brest x Lorient