Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for February 7 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund, Saturday, 7/2/2026

📅 7/2/2026 14:30

Wolfsburg 4.18

X 3.90

Borussia Dortmund 1.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund

Some important points for the tip for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolfsburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-95.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-8.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Wolfsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Borussia Dortmund, Wolfsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Wolfsburg conceded at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 ChatGPT’s take on our prediction for Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund:

Lets analyze the match between Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund at the Volkswagen Arena, which is Wolfsburgs usual stadium, ensuring the home advantage for them.

📊 Recent statistics show that Wolfsburg scored 10 goals and conceded 8 in the last 5 home games, with a balanced performance (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Borussia Dortmund has impressive away stats in the same league: scored 15 goals and lost none of the last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), demonstrating superior offensive strength. Dortmund also maintains a better defensive average away (1 goal conceded vs. 2 by Wolfsburg).

⚽ In terms of ball possession, Wolfsburg dominates with about 57%, but suffers more shots against (15) than they take (11), while Dortmund has less possession (46%) but also faces many shots. This indicates that despite Wolfsburgs higher possession, Dortmund is efficient in attack.

💰 The median odds indicate clear favoritism for Borussia Dortmund with odds around 1.75 for their win, while Wolfsburgs win is priced above 4.18. Our internal model predicts even higher odds for the home team (~5), suggesting an underestimation of their chances.

🔍 Calculating the normalized fair probabilities based on median odds gives approximately: Home win ~20%, Draw ~25%, Away win ~55%. This confirms the expected superiority of Borussia Dortmund.

📰 Recent news reinforce this analysis: Wolfsburg faces internal issues such as an important suspension in attack and possible technical instability; meanwhile, Borussia is motivated by a recent dramatic victory in the Bundesliga, maintaining a strong fight for the title even after a Champions League loss. This extra motivation weighs heavily for the visitors.

📈 In the Bundesliga table, although we dont have exact data here, we know Dortmund is pressured by the leadership while Wolfsburg tries to escape the danger zone — this adds urgency for the visiting team to seek a positive result away.

Final analysis: I agree with the final odds from betting houses strongly backing Borussia Dortmund due to their current form, which is much superior both offensively and defensively away; additionally, the news indicates internal problems for the local opponent. The bet with a positive expected value is clearly the away victory (Dortmund) with an EV calculated close to +6% considering the final odds versus my adjusted fair estimates based on recent statistics and context.

Bets Kenya Tip: Bet on Borussia Dortmund, because besides the strong statistics favoring the visiting team, we have a clear motivational scenario due to the direct fight for the title! ⚽🔥

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2026, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund for the Germany Bundesliga I – 7 of February

Latest news about Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund

Wolfsburg: Wolfsburg is currently struggling to escape the relegation zone and urgently needs forward Mohammed Amoura, whose repeated disciplinary issues have already resulted in suspension and raise concerns about his availability next summer. Additionally, the club is monitoring French defender Jean-Clair Belocian as a potential signing, and speculation is growing that coach Oliver Christiansen may be leaving, with rumors linking him to a possible appointment at Rosenborg.

Borussia Dortmund: Borussia Dortmund secured a dramatic 3-2 victory over 1. FC Heidenheim on February 1, 2026, with Serhou Guirassy scoring the decisive penalty and adding a second goal, keeping BVB six points behind league leaders Bayern Munich and intensifying their title chase. Coach Niko Kovač emphasized that the victory should be used to prevent rival teams from closing the gap in the standings and highlighted a controversial foul on goalkeeper Kobel that sparked heated discussion at the press conference, as well as the team’s focus on upcoming matches. In the Champions League, Dortmund suffered a 0-2 defeat to Inter Milan on January 29, 2026, prompting Kovač to acknowledge the loss of offensive power, praise the debut of young Filippo Mane, 20, and confirm that the club will now have to go through the playoffs to continue in the competition. Additionally, the club dealt with the abrupt termination of Aaron Anselmino’s loan from Chelsea and continues to monitor promising right-back Ramon Hendriks from Stuttgart as a potential target.

Germany Bundesliga I table analysis for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund

Wolfsburg: Wolfsburg is in 14th place with 19 points, in a delicate situation to avoid relegation, as they are close to the relegation zone (16th place with 18 points). Every point will be crucial to distance themselves from this dangerous area. Therefore, the match against Borussia Dortmund is very important for Wolfsburg, which needs to earn points to secure its stay in the Bundesliga.

Borussia Dortmund: Borussia Dortmund is in 2nd place with 45 points, fighting directly for a spot in the Champions League and trying to close the gap to the leader Bayern Munich, who has 51 points. A positive result in this game could be decisive to continue fighting for the title or at least keep the Champions League spot, making this match highly significant for Dortmund.

Summary: An important game for both teams: Wolfsburg seeks essential points to escape relegation, while Dortmund wants to maintain its prominent position and stay competitive in the fight for the title and Champions League spot. ⚽🔥

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund

Before confirming your prediction, it is worth taking a look at how the odds have moved since the market opened. When the market adjusts the price (even slightly) it is usually because money flowed in, new information emerged or the bookmakers recalibrated their risk.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the main markets for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund (1X2, handicap and goals).

Tips for the Match Odds market for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund

When the best bet on Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1475397 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Should you bet on Wolfsburg?

🔵 Wolfsburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $667.80
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$122.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $609.00;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$181.00.

Should you bet on Borussia Dortmund?

🔴 Borussia Dortmund: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 580 times – profiting $435.00;
• And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$15.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Wolfsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Wolfsburg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Wolfsburg.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Wolfsburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund