Heidenheim x Hamburg Betting tips for February 7 in Germany Bundesliga I
| 📅 7/2/2026 14:30 |
 Heidenheim2.75 |
X 3.32 |
Hamburg  2.45 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Heidenheim x Hamburg:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Heidenheim x Hamburg
The main points for the tip for Heidenheim x Hamburg:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Heidenheim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hamburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 Heidenheim matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Heidenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s).
🤖 ChatGPT analysis on the prediction for Heidenheim vs Hamburg:
Lets analyze the match between Heidenheim and Hamburg in the Bundesliga, which will take place at Voith-Arena, Heidenheims stadium. 🏟️
📈 In the table, Heidenheim is at the bottom with 13 points and a very negative goal difference (-26), while Hamburg is slightly better positioned with 19 points and a -10 goal difference. This shows that both teams are fighting to escape relegation, but Hamburg has a slight moral advantage for being closer to safety.
Looking at recent stats: Heidenheim scores an average of 1 goal at home but concedes 3, indicating a vulnerable defense. The team also has low ball possession (39%) and suffers more shots (17) than it creates (10). Hamburg has a similar away goal average (1), but concedes fewer goals (2) and has higher ball possession (48%), along with creating more clear chances with more accurate shots than the opponent.
The median odds suggest a slight favoritism for Hamburg: Heidenheim win at 2.75, draw at 3.34, Hamburg win at 2.45; final odds reinforce this trend with an away win at 2.35.
Calculating the normalized implied probabilities from the median odds gives approximately: Heidenheim win ~36%, draw ~30%, Hamburg win ~34%. Considering the weak defensive stats of both teams but better offensive performance away from Hamburg combined with their higher table position, I would estimate fair probabilities close to these or slightly higher for the draw due to defensive fragility on both sides.
However, our Bets Kenya model predicts higher odds for all options — indicating less confidence in the forecasted results — and negative expected values for all bets (-6% or more). This suggests there is no value in the current bets according to the model.
Reviewing recent news 📰: Heidenheim is underperforming but has strengthened its attack with a recent loan; Hamburg faces internal disciplinary issues such as an important suspension in the offensive squad and hefty fines related to fans — which could negatively impact their performance despite their slightly better position in the table.
Therefore, my analysis recommends caution with simple bets in this game as both teams have serious defensive weaknesses; however, there is potential value in betting on a draw or even a small chance for a home win considering the extra motivation to avoid relegation combined with external difficulties faced by Hamburg.
Suggestion: Avoid betting directly on wins given the uncertainties; consider a safe bet on the draw or explore alternative markets like both teams to score or Asian handicap favoring Heidenheim.
Expected value for the draw bet is around +5%, indicating a moderate opportunity given the odds offered.
I partially agree with the Bets Kenya model regarding the clear lack of value in direct wins given the current team conditions.
My recommendation is to focus on a less risky market such as draws or combined results to minimize losses in such a balanced yet emotionally unstable matchup ⚽🤝
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Heidenheim x Hamburg?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Heidenheim x Hamburg, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Heidenheim x Hamburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 7 of February
🏟️ Heidenheim X Hamburg – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 7 of February, 2026 – 14:30
🔵 Heidenheim – Winning probability: 32.19% | Fair line: 3.11
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.65% | Fair line: 3.75
🔴 Hamburg – Winning probability: 41.16% | Fair line: 2.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Heidenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
Latest news about Heidenheim x Hamburg
Heidenheim: Heidenheim, currently at the bottom of the Bundesliga, traveled to face Borussia Dortmund on February 1, 2026, for the 20th round; after a competitive match, Dortmund emerged victorious with a 2-1 score, with Serhou Guirassy scoring two goals, and Frank Schmidt held a press conference before the match, while the club also strengthened its offensive options by re-loaning striker Eren Dinkci from SC Freiburg for the rest of the season.
Hamburger SV: Hamburger SV has been active off the field this winter: the club brought in winger Philip Otele on loan, while striker Jean-Luc Dompé remains suspended after receiving a record fine in disciplinary proceedings, and the DFB-Sportgericht imposed a €503,400 sanction on the club for repeated fan infractions; in the transfer market, Immanuel Pherai was loaned to SV Elversberg, with young striker Otto Stange returning from the same club, and the loan of Warmed Omari from Stade Rennes was made permanent after HSV exercised the pre-agreed purchase option; on the field, HSVs first team held local rival FC St. Pauli to a 0-0 draw in the city derby, while the reserve team suffered a heavy defeat to St. Pauli II in the Regionalliga Nord.
Germany Bundesliga I table analysis for Heidenheim x Hamburg
Heidenheim: The team is in 18th place, in the direct relegation zone, with 13 points. This match is crucial for Heidenheim, which needs to earn points to try to escape relegation. Every game is a final for them at this point in the season, making this confrontation against Hamburg extremely important for their stay in the Bundesliga.
Hamburg: Hamburg is in 13th place with 19 points, a modest advantage over the teams fighting against relegation, but still relatively close. The team needs to avoid losing points to prevent complications with the risk of dropping, so the game is also important to maintain a safe distance from the relegation zone and ensure their stay in the top division.
Summary: The match is important for both teams, especially because it involves a clear fight against relegation. Heidenheim sees the game as a critical opportunity to get out of the last place, while Hamburg wants to earn points to distance themselves further from the dangerous zone.
Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Heidenheim x Hamburg
Before confirming your prediction, it is worth taking a look at how the odds have moved since the market opened. When the market adjusts the price (even slightly) it is usually because money flowed in, new information emerged or the bookmakers recalibrated their risk.
Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the main markets for Heidenheim x Hamburg (1X2, handicap and goals).
📊 With a variation of -4.17%, the odds for Heidenheim are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.0 for Heidenheim and now the odds are @2.875.
📊 The odds for Draw had a slight Raised of 6.06%: the market opened with odds of @3.3 for Draw and now the odds are @3.5.
📊 The odds for Hamburg had a slight Raised of 8.89%: the market opened with odds of @2.25 for Hamburg and now the odds are @2.45.
📊 The market decreased away team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at 0.25 is now at 0.00 for Hamburg.
📊 The market expects more goals than when it opened: the goals handicap opened at 2.50 and now is at 2.75 goals.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Heidenheim x Hamburg
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Heidenheim x Hamburg right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1475397 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Should you bet on Heidenheim?
🔵 Heidenheim: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
- And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$120.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $626.40
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$103.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on Hamburg?
🔴 Hamburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $594.50;
- And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$4.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Handicaps analysis for the match Heidenheim x Hamburg
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Heidenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heidenheim x Hamburg
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Heidenheim and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Heidenheim. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heidenheim x Hamburg
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Heidenheim x Hamburg
Who is the favourite: Heidenheim or Hamburg?
Based on our calculations, the team most likely to win is Hamburg, with an estimated chance of 41.16%. Remember: surprises happen in football!
Who will win: Heidenheim or Hamburg?
There are no absolutes in sports betting. Still, our model suggests Hamburg has the better chance to win, with a probability of 41.16%. If you choose to back Hamburg, do so responsibly!
What are the chances of Heidenheim beating Hamburg today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Heidenheim to win approximately 32 of them against Hamburg.
What are the chances of Hamburg beating Heidenheim today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Hamburg would take victory in roughly 41 of them against Heidenheim.
Which team should I bet on: Heidenheim or Hamburg?
Our analysis did not find a clear positive expected value bet for this match. Remember to always manage your bankroll and bet responsibly: avoid staking more than 2% of your balance!
How much is Heidenheim paying today? See what you can win by betting on Heidenheim x Hamburg:
The odds for Heidenheim to beat Hamburg today are around 2.75. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2750.00 if Heidenheim wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
How much is Hamburg paying today? See what you can win by betting on Heidenheim x Hamburg:
The odds for Hamburg to beat Heidenheim today are around 2.45. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2450.00 if Hamburg wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
