Borussia Mgladbach x Bayer Leverkusen Betting tips for February 7 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Borussia Mgladbach x Bayer Leverkusen, Saturday, 7/2/2026

📅 7/2/2026 17:30

Borussia Mgladbach 3.00

X 3.64

Bayer Leverkusen 2.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Borussia Mgladbach x Bayer Leverkusen:

🔮 Bayer Leverkusen wins the match
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Some important points for the tip for Borussia Mgladbach x Bayer Leverkusen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Mgladbach in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-310.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $15.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Bayer Leverkusen, Borussia Mgladbach scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Borussia Mgladbach matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Borussia Mgladbach x Bayer Leverkusen, with Borussia Mgladbach as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Bayer Leverkusen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Borussia Mgladbach conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Bayer Leverkusen.
👉 Even as a visitor, Bayer Leverkusen won the last 4 head-to-head matches Borussia Mgladbach´s territory

🤖 What does ChatGPT think about our prediction for Borussia Mgladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Lets analyze the match between Borussia Mgladbach and Bayer Leverkusen at Borussia-Park, the true home of Gladbach, which has had a recent tough record at home with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 games. The home team concedes an average of 2 goals per game at home, while scoring only 1 goal. Meanwhile, Bayer Leverkusen performs better away, with an average of 1 goal scored and conceded per game, along with higher ball possession (63%) and more corners in their favor (6 vs 4 for Gladbach).

The median odds indicate favoritism for the visitor (2.15), followed by a draw (3.63), and the home win (3). Converting these odds into normalized implied probabilities gives approximately: home win ~31%, draw ~27%, away win ~42%. Considering Gladbachs weak defensive stats at home and Leverkusens moderate offensive consistency even away, this distribution makes sense.

However, when cross-referenced with recent news 📰, Borussia Mgladbach is undergoing an important sports reorganization with scouting changes and targeted reinforcements like Hugo Bolin for midfield — this could boost the teams motivation playing in front of their loyal fans at Borussia-Park. On the other hand, Bayer Leverkusen is in a positive moment after a good performance in the Champions League but faces defensive uncertainties due to the absence or recent return of key players.

📈 In the Bundesliga I table, the visitors are better positioned as vice-leaders seeking to maintain consistency after European success; meanwhile, the hosts are fighting to recover from recent poor results — this gives Leverkusen a slight psychological advantage but doesnt completely eliminate the chance of the Foals surprising us playing at home.

Analyzing the expected value of bets according to our calculation: betting on the away victory yields a positive EV close to +6%, while a draw or home win shows significant negative values due to high odds versus recent poor performance of the teams in these situations.

Suggestion: The recommended bet is on the Bayer Leverkusen victory, as well as solid away stats and a higher table position support this choice, the final odds being too low indicating real value (+5% EV). The Bets Kenya model also shows positive value in this option, agreeing with us! 🎯

Final tip: stay alert to the final lineup, as returns or absences could impact this scenario before kickoff!

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Analysis from Borussia Mgladbach x Bayer Leverkusen for the Germany Bundesliga I – 7 of February

Latest news on the match between Borussia Mgladbach and Bayer Leverkusen

Borussia Mönchengladbach: Borussia Mönchengladbach made progress in their sports restructuring on Tuesday: long-time scouting director Steffen Korell left the club voluntarily, while a strategic partnership was announced with Japanese record holders Kashima Antlers, which is expected to open exchange and market opportunities in the future. As part of preparations for the upcoming home match against Bayer Leverkusen, the Foals introduced the signing of Hugo Bolin for midfield, while returning Diks resumed training. Additionally, sporting director Schröder is evaluating the possible return of former Japanese international Ko Itakura, and 18-year-old forward Can Armando Güner is close to transferring to Galatasaray Istanbul after deciding to leave Gladbachs U-19 team. Schröder also keeps the possibility of a last-minute signing to strengthen the squad.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Bayer 04 Leverkusen secured a long-term contract with 18-year-old U-19 striker Montrell Culbreath, extending his contract until summer 2030, while coach Kasper Hjulmand adjusted his system after a 3-0 victory in the Champions League group stage against Villarreal, where Malik Tillman opened the scoring and later scored a hat-trick, relegating the club to the playoffs; Leverkusen will now face Olympiakos in the Champions League playoffs, with no remaining German opponents. The team is also dealing with defensive uncertainties, as Stepanov is loaned to FC Utrecht, Edmond Tapsoba is close to returning after injury, and the team, currently second in the Bundesliga, seeks to turn its recent European form into consistency in the domestic league.

Table analysis for the match between Borussia Mgladbach x Bayer Leverkusen

Borussia Mgladbach: Currently in 12th place with 21 points, Borussia Mgladbach is in a qualification zone that does not guarantee access to international competitions and is relatively far from the relegation zone, but also distant from the top spots. This match is important for the team because, with only a few rounds remaining, earning points can improve their final position and push them further away from relegation pressure, as well as trying to reach a more comfortable spot on the table.

Bayer Leverkusen: In 6th place with 35 points, Bayer Leverkusen is close to qualification positions for European competitions, including within the group that can compete in continental tournaments like the Conference League. The match is quite important for Leverkusen because a victory could consolidate or even improve this position, increasing the chances of securing an international spot next season.

Summary: The game has clear importance for both teams but with different motivations. Borussia Mgladbach aims to improve its position to avoid risks and close the season more securely, while Bayer Leverkusen targets a position that guarantees them in European competitions. Therefore, it is a relevant matchup for both clubs. ⚽🔥

Odds and handicap movements for Borussia Mgladbach x Bayer Leverkusen

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Borussia Mgladbach x Bayer Leverkusen.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Borussia Mgladbach x Bayer Leverkusen

When the best bet on Borussia Mgladbach x Bayer Leverkusen is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1475397 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is betting on Borussia Mgladbach worth it?

🔵 Borussia Mgladbach: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $480.00;
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $475.20
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$344.80.

Should you bet on Bayer Leverkusen?

🔴 Bayer Leverkusen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
• And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$218.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Borussia Mgladbach x Bayer Leverkusen

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Borussia Mgladbach
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Borussia Mgladbach x Bayer Leverkusen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Borussia Mgladbach, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Borussia Mgladbach.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Bayer Leverkusen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Borussia Mgladbach x Bayer Leverkusen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Borussia Mgladbach x Bayer Leverkusen