Auxerre x Paris FC Betting tips for February 8 in France Ligue 1
| 📅 8/2/2026 16:15 |
 Auxerre2.49 |
X 3.15 |
Paris FC  2.80 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Auxerre x Paris FC:
🔮 Paris FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Paris FC, you can win up to $1400.00!
Some important points for the tip for Auxerre x Paris FC:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Paris FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1089.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Auxerre conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Auxerre as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.
🤖 Critical analysis from ChatGPT on our prediction for Auxerre vs Paris FC:
Lets analyze the match between Auxerre and Paris FC, which will take place at Stade de lAbbé-Deschamps, home of Auxerre. The stadium is Auxerres true home, so they have the home advantage.
📈 Table analysis:
Auxerre is in a delicate situation in Ligue 1, holding 13th place with only 13 points after 20 matches, fighting to escape relegation zone. Meanwhile, Paris FC is slightly better positioned in 14th place with 21 points. This difference shows that Paris FC has a slight moral advantage and more recent stability.
Recent statistics:
Auxerre has scored about 1 goal per game at home in recent matches but concedes about 2 goals per game – a clear sign of defensive fragility. Additionally, their average possession is low (39%), indicating they probably play more on opponent errors.
On the other hand, Paris FC has balanced averages: they score and concede about 1 goal per away game and maintain a slightly higher possession (51%). This suggests a more controlled and efficient team away from their home ground.
Based on median odds, the implied normalized probabilities are:
– Auxerre win: ~40%
– Draw: ~31%
– Paris FC win: ~29%
However, considering Auxerres weak defensive stats against a relatively solid Paris FC away and their better position in the table with higher recent morale (including eliminating PSG in the Cup), I would adjust the probabilities to something like:
– Auxerre win: ~33%
– Draw: ~30%
– Paris FC win: ~37%
Thus, the fair odds would be approximately:
Auxerre victory – @3.0
Draw – @3.3
Paris FC victory – @2.7
Looking at the final house odds (2.45 / 3.3 / 2.9) compared to my fair odds above, I see value mainly in the visitors win (Paris FC), as the final odd is higher than my estimated fair odd (@2.9 vs @2.7). The Bets Kenya model also indicates positive value for the visitors win (+9.7%), reinforcing this reading.
📰 Important news:
Auxerre has been trying to strengthen their squad recently but hasnt found consistency; meanwhile, Paris FC is on a roll after eliminating PSG from the French Cup and recently managed a dramatic draw against Marseille – this gives extra confidence to the visiting team to seek a positive result even away.
Final suggestion: Bet on Paris FCs victory, as there is a positive expected value in the current odds due to their recent form combined with Auxerres defensive fragility even at home.
Lets go! ⚽💰
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Analysis from Auxerre x Paris FC for the France Ligue 1 – 8 of February
🏟️ Auxerre X Paris FC – France Ligue 1
📅 8 of February, 2026 – 16:15
🔵 Auxerre – Winning probability: 32.70% | Fair line: 3.06
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.54% | Fair line: 3.39
🔴 Paris FC – Winning probability: 37.76% | Fair line: 2.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Auxerre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
The latest news about Auxerre x Paris FC
AJ Auxerre: AJ Auxerre is struggling to stay away from the relegation battle in Ligue 1, currently in 13th place after 20 matches, with 3 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, totaling 13 points and a goal difference of -15. The next league game will be at home against Paris FC on February 8, 2026, at Stade de l’Abbé-Deschamps. During the January transfer window, the club strengthened its squad by signing Naouirou Ahamada on a free transfer and securing the loan of forward Romain Faivre from Bournemouth, as the team continues to seek consistency after a series of mixed results that keep them just above the relegation zone.
Paris FC: Paris FC, managed by coach Stéphane Gilli and hosting matches at Stade Jean Bouin with a capacity of 20,000 fans in Issy-les-Moulineaux, is in 14th place in Ligue 1, with 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, totaling 21 points and a goal difference of -8 after the last round. The club achieved a dramatic 2-2 draw against Olympique Marseille on January 31, 2026, when Ilan Kebbal converted a late penalty to equalize after Marseille was leading 2-0. This result put Paris FC seven points ahead of the relegation playoff zone, while Marseille fell seven points behind league leaders Lens. The team aims to build on this recovery in the upcoming match against Lens at Stade Jean Bouin on February 14, 2026. Additionally, Paris FC gained prominence by eliminating city rival Paris Saint-Germain from the Coupe de France in earlier rounds and will travel to face Lorient in the next cup match.
Table analysis for the match between Auxerre x Paris FC
Auxerre: Auxerre is in 17th place, within the relegation zone, with only 13 points. The team is in a delicate situation and desperately needs points to try to escape this condition that could lead to direct relegation. This match is crucial for Auxerre, as a victory could provide a breather and increase hope for staying in Ligue 1. Every point is vital at this stage of the competition, especially in a direct confrontation with a nearby team.
Paris FC: Paris FC is in 14th place, with 21 points, comfortably above the relegation zone, as they are 8 points ahead of Auxerre. For Paris FC, although a win would bring benefits to further distance themselves from the risk of relegation, the game is not decisive for maintaining their category, since the team is already relatively safe in the table. Therefore, this match has moderate importance for Paris FC, serving more to consolidate their position than to escape an urgent threat.
Summary: This matchup is very important for Auxerre in the fight against relegation, while for Paris FC, the game has moderate importance, focusing on ensuring greater stability in the standings. In summary, the game is decisive for one team and less impactful for the other. ⚽️🔥
Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Auxerre x Paris FC
One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Auxerre x Paris FC.
Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 With a variation of -2.00%, the odds for Auxerre are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.5 for Auxerre and now the odds are @2.45.
📊 With a variation of -2.94%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.4 for Draw and now the odds are @3.3.
📊 The odds for Paris FC had a great Raised of 10.48%: the market opened with odds of @2.625 for Paris FC and now the odds are @2.9.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of 0.00 for Auxerre is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The market expects less goals than when it opened: the goals handicap opened at 2.50 and now is at 2.25 goals.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Auxerre x Paris FC
When the best bet on Auxerre x Paris FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1475397 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Should you bet on Auxerre?
🔵 Auxerre: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $491.70;
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$178.30.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $645.00
- And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$55.00.
Is betting on Paris FC worth it?
🔴 Paris FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 380 times – profiting $684.00;
- And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$64.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Auxerre x Paris FC
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Auxerre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Auxerre x Paris FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Auxerre and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Auxerre.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Auxerre x Paris FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Auxerre x Paris FC
Who is the favourite for Auxerre x Paris FC?
From our analysis, the team that comes out as favourite is Paris FC, with a win probability of 37.76%. Still, favourite does not guarantee a win!
Who will win: Auxerre or Paris FC?
There are no absolutes in sports betting. Still, our model suggests Paris FC has the better chance to win, with a probability of 37.76%. If you choose to back Paris FC, do so responsibly!
What are the chances of Auxerre beating Paris FC today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Auxerre would take victory in roughly 33 of them versus Paris FC.
What are the chances of Paris FC beating Auxerre today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Paris FC would take victory in roughly 38 of them against Auxerre.
Which team should I bet on: Auxerre or Paris FC?
Smart bettors seek bets with positive expected value. According to our analysis, the recommended bet is: Paris FC Wins, with an expected value of 9.43%. Remember to bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: dont stake over 2%!
How much is Auxerre paying today? See what you can win by betting on Auxerre x Paris FC:
The odds for Auxerre to beat Paris FC today are around 2.49. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2490.00 if Auxerre wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
How much is Paris FC paying today? See what you can win by betting on Auxerre x Paris FC:
The average odds for Paris FC to beat Auxerre today are 2.80. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh2800.00 if Paris FC wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.
