Chelsea x Leeds Betting tips for February 10 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Chelsea x Leeds, Tuesday, 10/2/2026

📅 10/2/2026 19:30

Chelsea 1.61

X 4.00

Leeds 5.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chelsea x Leeds:

🔮 Chelsea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $805.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Chelsea x Leeds:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-46.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Leeds in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-330.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Chelsea scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Leeds scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Leeds, Chelsea scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Leeds conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Chelsea is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Chelsea has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Leeds.

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Analysis from Chelsea x Leeds for the England Premier League – 10 of February

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Chelsea x Leeds

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Chelsea x Leeds.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chelsea x Leeds

When the best bet on Chelsea x Leeds is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1475397 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it a good idea to bet on Chelsea?

🔵 Chelsea: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 79.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 800 times – having a profit of $488.00;
• And would have lost other 200 times – with a loss of -$200.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$288.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 130 times – profiting $390.00;
• And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$480.00.

Is betting on Leeds worth it?

🔴 Leeds: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 80 times – profiting $320.00;
• And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$600.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chelsea x Leeds

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Chelsea
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chelsea x Leeds

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Chelsea, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Chelsea.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chelsea x Leeds

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Chelsea x Leeds